Nonparametric Sharpe Ratio Function Estimation in Heteroscedastic Regression Models via Convex Optimization
Seung-Jean Kim, Johan Lim, Joong-Ho Won
Abstract
We consider maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) of heteroscedastic regression models based on a new “parametrization” of the likelihood in terms of the Sharpe ratio function, or the ratio of the mean and volatility functions. While with a standard parametrization the MLE problem is not convex and hence hard to solve globally, our parametrization leads to a functional that is jointly convex in the Sharpe ratio and inverse volatility functions. The major difficulty with the resulting infinite-dimensional convex program is the shape constraint on the inverse volatility function. We propose to solve the problem by solving a sequence of finite-dimensional convex programs with increasing dimensions, which can be done globally and efficiently. We demonstrate that, when the goal is to estimate the Sharpe ratio function directly, the finite-sample performance of the proposed estimation method is superior to existing methods that estimate the mean and variance functions separately. When applied to a financial dataset, our method captures a well-known covariate-dependent effect on the Shape ratio.
BibTeX
@InProceedings{pmlr-v84-kim18b,
title = {Nonparametric Sharpe Ratio Function Estimation in Heteroscedastic Regression Models via Convex Optimization},
author = {Kim, Seung-Jean and Lim, Johan and Won, Joong-Ho},
booktitle = {Proceedings of the Twenty-First International Conference on Artificial Intelligence and Statistics},
pages = {1495--1504},
year = {2018},
editor = {Storkey, Amos and Perez-Cruz, Fernando},
volume = {84},
series = {Proceedings of Machine Learning Research},
month = {09--11 Apr},
publisher = {PMLR},
pdf = {http://proceedings.mlr.press/v84/kim18b/kim18b.pdf},
url = {https://proceedings.mlr.press/v84/kim18b.html},
abstract = {We consider maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) of heteroscedastic regression models based on a new “parametrization” of the likelihood in terms of the Sharpe ratio function, or the ratio of the mean and volatility functions. While with a standard parametrization the MLE problem is not convex and hence hard to solve globally, our parametrization leads to a functional that is jointly convex in the Sharpe ratio and inverse volatility functions. The major difficulty with the resulting infinite-dimensional convex program is the shape constraint on the inverse volatility function. We propose to solve the problem by solving a sequence of finite-dimensional convex programs with increasing dimensions, which can be done globally and efficiently. We demonstrate that, when the goal is to estimate the Sharpe ratio function directly, the finite-sample performance of the proposed estimation method is superior to existing methods that estimate the mean and variance functions separately. When applied to a financial dataset, our method captures a well-known covariate-dependent effect on the Shape ratio.}
}