Mixed Strategies for Robust Optimization of Unknown Objectives
Pier Giuseppe Sessa, Ilija Bogunovic, Maryam Kamgarpour, Andreas Krause
Abstract
We consider robust optimization problems, where the goal is to optimize an unknown objective function against the worst-case realization of an uncertain parameter. For this setting, we design a novel sample-efficient algorithm GP-MRO, which sequentially learns about the unknown objective from noisy point evaluations. GP-MRO seeks to discover a robust and randomized mixed strategy, that maximizes the worst-case expected objective value. To achieve this, it combines techniques from online learning with nonparametric confidence bounds from Gaussian processes. Our theoretical results characterize the number of samples required by GP-MRO to discover a robust near-optimal mixed strategy for different GP kernels of interest. We experimentally demonstrate the performance of our algorithm on synthetic datasets and on human-assisted trajectory planning tasks for autonomous vehicles. In our simulations, we show that robust deterministic strategies can be overly conservative, while the mixed strategies found by GP-MRO significantly improve the overall performance.
BibTeX
@InProceedings{pmlr-v108-sessa20a,
title = {Mixed Strategies for Robust Optimization of Unknown Objectives},
author = {Sessa, Pier Giuseppe and Bogunovic, Ilija and Kamgarpour, Maryam and Krause, Andreas},
booktitle = {Proceedings of the Twenty Third International Conference on Artificial Intelligence and Statistics},
pages = {2970--2980},
year = {2020},
editor = {Chiappa, Silvia and Calandra, Roberto},
volume = {108},
series = {Proceedings of Machine Learning Research},
month = {26--28 Aug},
publisher = {PMLR},
pdf = {http://proceedings.mlr.press/v108/sessa20a/sessa20a.pdf},
url = {https://proceedings.mlr.press/v108/sessa20a.html},
abstract = {We consider robust optimization problems, where the goal is to optimize an unknown objective function against the worst-case realization of an uncertain parameter. For this setting, we design a novel sample-efficient algorithm GP-MRO, which sequentially learns about the unknown objective from noisy point evaluations. GP-MRO seeks to discover a robust and randomized mixed strategy, that maximizes the worst-case expected objective value. To achieve this, it combines techniques from online learning with nonparametric confidence bounds from Gaussian processes. Our theoretical results characterize the number of samples required by GP-MRO to discover a robust near-optimal mixed strategy for different GP kernels of interest. We experimentally demonstrate the performance of our algorithm on synthetic datasets and on human-assisted trajectory planning tasks for autonomous vehicles. In our simulations, we show that robust deterministic strategies can be overly conservative, while the mixed strategies found by GP-MRO significantly improve the overall performance.}
}