COLING 2025industry0 citations

Predicting Fine-tuned Performance on Larger Datasets Before Creating Them

Toshiki Kuramoto, Jun Suzuki

Abstract

This paper proposes a method to estimate the performance of pretrained models fine-tuned with a larger dataset from the result with a smaller dataset. Specifically, we demonstrate that when a pretrained model is fine-tuned, its classification performance increases at the same overall rate, regardless of the original dataset size, as the number of epochs increases. Subsequently, we verify that an approximate formula based on this trend can be used to predict the performance when the model is trained with ten times or more training data, even when the initial training dataset is limited. Our results show that this approach can help resource-limited companies develop machine-learning models.

BibTeX
@inproceedings{kuramoto-suzuki-2025-predicting,
    title = "Predicting Fine-tuned Performance on Larger Datasets Before Creating Them",
    author = "Kuramoto, Toshiki  and
      Suzuki, Jun",
    editor = "Rambow, Owen  and
      Wanner, Leo  and
      Apidianaki, Marianna  and
      Al-Khalifa, Hend  and
      Eugenio, Barbara Di  and
      Schockaert, Steven  and
      Darwish, Kareem  and
      Agarwal, Apoorv",
    booktitle = "Proceedings of the 31st International Conference on Computational Linguistics: Industry Track",
    month = jan,
    year = "2025",
    address = "Abu Dhabi, UAE",
    publisher = "Association for Computational Linguistics",
    url = "https://aclanthology.org/2025.coling-industry.17/",
    pages = "204--212"
}
Predicting Fine-tuned Performance on Larger Datasets Before Creating Them · COLING 2025