ICML 2025poster0 citations

Adaptive Flow Matching for Resolving Small-Scale Physics

Stathi Fotiadis, Noah D Brenowitz, Tomas Geffner, Yair Cohen, Michael Pritchard, Arash Vahdat, Morteza Mardani

Abstract

Conditional diffusion and flow models are effective for super-resolving small-scale details in natural images. However, in physical sciences such as weather, three major challenges arise: (i) spatially misaligned input-output distributions (PDEs at different resolutions lead to divergent trajectories), (ii) misaligned and distinct input-output channels (channel synthesis), (iii) several channels with diverse stochasticity scales (multiscale). To address these, we propose to first encode inputs into a latent base distribution that is closer to the target, then apply Flow Matching to generate small-scale physics. The encoder captures deterministic components, while Flow Matching adds stochastic details. To handle uncertainty in the deterministic part, we inject noise via an adaptive noise scaling mechanism, dynamically adjusted by maximum-likelihood estimates of the encoder’s predictions. Experiments on real-world weather data (including super-resolution from 25 km to 2 km scales in Taiwan) and in synthetic Kolmogorov flow datasets show that our proposed Adaptive Flow Matching (AFM) framework outperforms existing methods and produces better-calibrated ensembles.

flow matchingdiffusion modelsweather downscalingdistribution misalignment
BibTeX
@inproceedings{
fotiadis2025adaptive,
title={Adaptive Flow Matching for Resolving Small-Scale Physics},
author={Stathi Fotiadis and Noah D Brenowitz and Tomas Geffner and Yair Cohen and Michael Pritchard and Arash Vahdat and Morteza Mardani},
booktitle={Forty-second International Conference on Machine Learning},
year={2025},
url={https://openreview.net/forum?id=YJ1My9ttEN}
}
Adaptive Flow Matching for Resolving Small-Scale Physics · ICML 2025