Modeling the Impact of Policy Interventions for Sustainable Development

Sowmith Nandan Rachuri; Arpitha Malavalli; Niharika Sri Parasa; Pooja Bassin; Srinath Srinivasa

IJCAI 2023poster1 citations

Modeling the Impact of Policy Interventions for Sustainable Development

Sowmith Nandan Rachuri, Arpitha Malavalli, Niharika Sri Parasa, Pooja Bassin, Srinath Srinivasa

Abstract

There is an increasing demand to design policy interventions to achieve various targets specified by the UN Sustainable Development Goals by 2030. Designing interventions is a complex task given that the system may often respond in unexpected ways to a given intervention. This could be due to interventions towards a given target, affecting other unrelated variables, and/or interventions leading to acute disparities in nearby geographic areas. In order to address such issues, we propose a novel concept called Stress Modeling that analyzes the holistic impact of a policy intervention by taking into account the interactions within a system, after the intervention. The simulation is based on the postulate that complex systems of interacting entities tend to settle down into "low energy'' configurations by minimizing differentials in capabilities of neighbouring entities. The simulation shows how policy impact percolates through geospatial boundaries over time and can be applied at any granularity. The theory and the corresponding package have been explained along with a case study analyzing a fertilizer policy in the Agro-climatic Zones of the state of Karnataka, India.

Multidisciplinary Topics and Applications: MDA: Computational sustainabilityAI Ethics, Trust, Fairness: ETF: AI and law, governance, regulationMachine Learning: ML: Explainable/Interpretable machine learningMultidisciplinary Topics and Applications: MDA: Energy, environment and sustainabilityUncertainty in AI: UAI: Bayesian networks

BibTeX

@inproceedings{ijcai2023p841,
  title     = {Modeling the Impact of Policy Interventions for Sustainable Development},
  author    = {Rachuri, Sowmith Nandan and Malavalli, Arpitha and Parasa, Niharika Sri and Bassin, Pooja and Srinivasa, Srinath},
  booktitle = {Proceedings of the Thirty-Second International Joint Conference on
               Artificial Intelligence, {IJCAI-23}},
  publisher = {International Joint Conferences on Artificial Intelligence Organization},
  editor    = {Edith Elkind},
  pages     = {7167--7170},
  year      = {2023},
  month     = {8},
  note      = {Demo Track},
  doi       = {10.24963/ijcai.2023/841},
  url       = {https://doi.org/10.24963/ijcai.2023/841},
}