Harnessing and Evaluating the Intrinsic Extrapolation Ability of Large Language Models for Vehicle Trajectory Prediction

Abstract

Emergent abilities of large language models (LLMs) have significantly advanced their application in autonomous vehicle (AV) research. Safe integration of LLMs into vehicles, however, necessitates their thorough understanding of dynamic traffic environments. Towards this end, this study introduces a framework leveraging LLMs’ built-in extrapolation capabilities for vehicle trajectory prediction, thereby evaluating their comprehension of the evolution of traffic agents’ behaviors and interactions over time. The framework employs a traffic encoder to extract spatial-level scene features from agents’ observed trajectories to facilitate efficient scene representation. To focus on LLM’s innate capabilities, scene features are then converted into LLM-compatible tokens through a reprogramming adapter and finally decoded into predicted trajectories with a linear decoder. Experimental results quantitatively demonstrate the framework’s efficacy in enabling off-the-shelf, frozen LLMs to achieve competitive trajectory prediction performance, with qualitative analyses revealing their enhanced understanding of complex, multi-agent traffic scenarios.