Meta-learning Control Variates: Variance Reduction with Limited Data
Zhuo Sun, Chris J Oates, François-Xavier Briol
Abstract
Control variates can be a powerful tool to reduce the variance of Monte Carlo estimators, but constructing effective control variates can be challenging when the number of samples is small. In this paper, we show that when a large number of related integrals need to be computed, it is possible to leverage the similarity between these integration tasks to improve performance even when the number of samples per task is very small. Our approach, called meta learning CVs (Meta-CVs), can be used for up to hundreds or thousands of tasks. Our empirical assessment indicates that Meta-CVs can lead to significant variance reduction in such settings, and our theoretical analysis establishes general conditions under which Meta-CVs can be successfully trained.
BibTeX
@InProceedings{pmlr-v216-sun23a,
title = {Meta-learning Control Variates: Variance Reduction with Limited Data},
author = {Sun, Zhuo and Oates, Chris J and Briol, Fran\c{c}ois-Xavier},
booktitle = {Proceedings of the Thirty-Ninth Conference on Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence},
pages = {2047--2057},
year = {2023},
editor = {Evans, Robin J. and Shpitser, Ilya},
volume = {216},
series = {Proceedings of Machine Learning Research},
month = {31 Jul--04 Aug},
publisher = {PMLR},
pdf = {https://proceedings.mlr.press/v216/sun23a/sun23a.pdf},
url = {https://proceedings.mlr.press/v216/sun23a.html},
abstract = {Control variates can be a powerful tool to reduce the variance of Monte Carlo estimators, but constructing effective control variates can be challenging when the number of samples is small. In this paper, we show that when a large number of related integrals need to be computed, it is possible to leverage the similarity between these integration tasks to improve performance even when the number of samples per task is very small. Our approach, called meta learning CVs (Meta-CVs), can be used for up to hundreds or thousands of tasks. Our empirical assessment indicates that Meta-CVs can lead to significant variance reduction in such settings, and our theoretical analysis establishes general conditions under which Meta-CVs can be successfully trained.}
}