6 accepted papers
Forecasting the block maxima of a future time window is a challenging task due to the difficulty in inferring the tail distribution of a target variable. As the historical observations alone may not be sufficient to train robust models to predict the block maxima, domain-driven process models are of…
Normalizing flows—a popular class of deep generative models—often fail to represent extreme phenomena observed in real-world processes. In particular, existing normalizing flow architectures struggle to model multivariate extremes, characterized by heavy-tailed marginal distributions and asymmetric…
Accurate forecasting of extreme values in time series is critical due to the significant impact of extreme events on human and natural systems. This paper presents DeepExtrema, a novel framework that combines a deep neural network (DNN) with generalized extreme value (GEV) distribution to forecast t…
We study the problem of multi-robot coverage over an unknown, nonuniform sensory field. Modeling the sensory field as a realization of a Gaussian Process and using Bayesian techniques, we devise a policy which aims to balance the tradeoff between learning the sensory function and covering the enviro…
The spectral k-support norm enjoys good estimation properties in low rank matrix learning problems, empirically outperforming the trace norm. Its unit ball is the convex hull of rank k matrices with unit Frobenius norm. In this paper we generalize the norm to the spectral (k,p)-support norm, whose…
Latent subcategory models (LSMs) offer significant improvements over training flat classifiers such as linear SVMs. Training LSMs is a challenging task due to the potentially large number of local optima in the objective function and the increased model complexity which requires large training set s…