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Axel Brando

8 accepted papers

2026

Exactly Computing do-Shapley Values

ICML 2026poster

Structural Causal Models (SCM) are a powerful framework for describing complicated dynamics across the natural sciences. A particularly elegant way of interpreting SCMs is do-Shapley, a game-theoretic method of quantifying the average effect of $d$ variables across exponentially many interventions. …

Cited by 0SourceScholar
2026

Position: Predictive Uncertainty Is Not Enough -- Joint Distribution for Full Uncertainty Representation

ICML 2026poster

When AI is deployed in safety-critical domains, erroneous and overconfident predictions can have severe consequences. Therefore, comprehensive uncertainty quantification (UQ) should be a foundational requirement for responsible decision-making. Current UQ methods based on epistemic and aleatoric dec…

Cited by 0SourceScholar
2025

Position: If Innovation in AI systematically Violates Fundamental Rights, Is It Innovation at All?

NeurIPS 2025oral

Artificial intelligence (AI) now permeates critical infrastructures and decisionmaking systems where failures produce social, economic, and democratic harm. This position paper challenges the entrenched belief that regulation and innovation are opposites. As evidenced by analogies from aviation, ph…

Cited by 0SourceScholar
2025

Practical do-Shapley Explanations with Estimand-Agnostic Causal Inference

NeurIPS 2025spotlight

Among explainability techniques, SHAP stands out as one of the most popular, but often overlooks the causal structure of the problem. In response, do-SHAP employs interventional queries, but its reliance on estimands hinders its practical application. To address this problem, we propose the use of e…

Cited by 6SourceScholar
2024

Shedding Light on Large Generative Networks: Estimating Epistemic Uncertainty in Diffusion Models

UAI 2024poster

Generative diffusion models, notable for their large parameter count (exceeding 100 million) and operation within high-dimensional image spaces, pose significant challenges for traditional uncertainty estimation methods due to computational demands. In this work, we introduce an innovative framework…

2023

Retrospective Uncertainties for Deep Models using Vine Copulas

AISTATS 2023poster

Despite the major progress of deep models as learning machines, uncertainty estimation remains a major challenge. Existing solutions rely on modified loss functions or architectural changes. We propose to compensate for the lack of built-in uncertainty estimates by supplementing any network, retrosp…

2022

Deep Non-crossing Quantiles through the Partial Derivative

AISTATS 2022poster

Quantile Regression (QR) provides a way to approximate a single conditional quantile. To have a more informative description of the conditional distribution, QR can be merged with deep learning techniques to simultaneously estimate multiple quantiles. However, the minimisation of the QR-loss functio…

Cited by 16SourcePDFScholar
2019

Modelling heterogeneous distributions with an Uncountable Mixture of Asymmetric Laplacians

NeurIPS 2019poster

In regression tasks, aleatoric uncertainty is commonly addressed by considering a parametric distribution of the output variable, which is based on strong assumptions such as symmetry, unimodality or by supposing a restricted shape. These assumptions are too limited in scenarios where complex shapes…