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Duncan Watson-Parris

7 accepted papers

2026

Spatiotemporal Pyramid Flow Matching for Climate Emulation

CVPR 2026

Generative models have the potential to transform the way we emulate Earth's changing climate. Previous generative approaches rely on weather-scale autoregression for climate emulation, but this is inherently slow for long climate horizons and has yet to demonstrate stable rollouts under nonstationa

Cited by 0SourcecodeScholar
2026

U-Cast: A Surprisingly Simple Frontier Probabilistic AI Weather Forecaster

ICML 2026poster

Global weather forecasting has recently been revolutionized by AI, outperforming traditional physics-based ensembles. However, these state-of-the-art (SOTA) models rely on massive computational resources and increasingly specialized architectures, creating a high barrier to entry. In this work, we d…

Cited by 0SourceScholar
2026

Zephyrus: An Agentic Framework for Weather Science

ICLR 2026poster

Foundation models for weather science are pre-trained on vast amounts of structured numerical data and outperform traditional weather forecasting systems. However, these models lack language-based reasoning capabilities, limiting their utility in interactive scientific workflows. Large language mode…

Cited by 0SourcecodeScholar
2025

Adapting While Learning: Grounding LLMs for Scientific Problems with Tool Usage Adaptation

ICML 2025poster

Large Language Models (LLMs) demonstrate promising capabilities in solving scientific problems but often suffer from the issue of hallucination. While integrating LLMs with tools can mitigate this issue, models fine-tuned on tool usage become overreliant on them and incur unnecessary costs. Insp…

2025

ClimaQA: An Automated Evaluation Framework for Climate Question Answering Models

ICLR 2025poster

The use of Large Language Models (LLMs) in climate science has recently gained significant attention. However, a critical issue remains: the lack of a comprehensive evaluation framework capable of assessing the quality and scientific validity of model outputs. To address this issue, we develop *Clim…

2025

Discovering Latent Causal Graphs from Spatiotemporal Data

ICML 2025poster

Many important phenomena in scientific fields like climate, neuroscience, and epidemiology are naturally represented as spatiotemporal gridded data with complex interactions. Inferring causal relationships from these data is a challenging problem compounded by the high dimensionality of such data a…

2024

Multi-Fidelity Residual Neural Processes for Scalable Surrogate Modeling

ICML 2024poster

Multi-fidelity surrogate modeling aims to learn an accurate surrogate at the highest fidelity level by combining data from multiple sources. Traditional methods relying on Gaussian processes can hardly scale to high-dimensional data. Deep learning approaches utilize neural network based encoders and…