4 accepted papers
Hierarchical time series are collections of time series that are formed via aggregation, and thus adhere to some linear constraints. The forecasts for hierarchical time series should be coherent, i.e., they should satisfy the same constraints. In a probabilistic setting, forecasts are in the form of…
We present a method for learning treewidth-bounded Bayesian networks from data sets containing thousands of variables. Bounding the treewidth of a Bayesian network greatly reduces the complexity of inferences. Yet, being a global property of the graph, it considerably increases the difficulty of th…
A fundamental task in machine learning is to compare the performance of multiple algorithms. This is typically performed by frequentist tests (usually the Friedman test followed by a series of multiple pairwise comparisons). This implies dealing with null hypothesis significance tests and p-values,…
We present a method for learning Bayesian networks from data sets containingthousands of variables without the need for structure constraints. Our approachis made of two parts. The first is a novel algorithm that effectively explores thespace of possible parent sets of a node. It guides the explorat…