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Gursharn Kaur

2 accepted papers

2023

Phase-Informed Bayesian Ensemble Models Improve Performance of COVID-19 Forecasts

AAAI 2023technical

Despite hundreds of methods published in the literature, forecasting epidemic dynamics remains challenging yet important. The challenges stem from multiple sources, including: the need for timely data, co-evolution of epidemic dynamics with behavioral and immunological adaptations, and the evolution…

Cited by 4SourcePDFScholar
2023

Reconstructing an Epidemic Outbreak Using Steiner Connectivity

AAAI 2023technical

Only a subset of infections is actually observed in an outbreak, due to multiple reasons such as asymptomatic cases and under-reporting. Therefore, reconstructing an epidemic cascade given some observed cases is an important step in responding to such an outbreak. A maximum likelihood solution to th…

Cited by 4SourcePDFScholar