3 accepted papers
Reliable uncertainty quantification at unobserved spatial locations is a key challenge in spatial statistics, particularly for complex and heterogeneous datasets. While traditional methods such as Kriging rely on strong distributional assumptions, conformal prediction (CP) offers a distribution-free…
We present a novel Graph-based debiasing Algorithm for Underreported Data (GRAUD) aiming at an efficient joint estimation of event counts and discovery probabilities across spatial or graphical structures. This innovative method provides a solution to problems seen in fields such as policing data an…
Conformal prediction (CP) has been a popular method for uncertainty quantification because it is distribution-free, model-agnostic, and theoretically sound. For forecasting problems in supervised learning, most CP methods focus on building prediction intervals for univariate responses. In this work,…