Haosen Ge

2 accepted papers

2026

Position: AI Capabilities Are Not Increasing Exponentially

Haosen Ge, Hamsa Bastani, Osbert Bastani

ICML 2026poster

Rapidly increasing AI capabilities have substantial real-world consequences, ranging from AI safety concerns to labor market consequences. The Model Evaluation & Threat Research (METR) report argues that AI capabilities have exhibited exponential growth since 2019. In this position paper, we argue t…

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2025

Stochastic Online Conformal Prediction with Semi-Bandit Feedback

Haosen Ge, Hamsa Bastani, Osbert Bastani

ICML 2025poster

Conformal prediction has emerged as an effective strategy for uncertainty quantification by modifying a model to output sets of labels instead of a single label. These prediction sets come with the guarantee that they contain the true label with high probability. However, conformal prediction typica…

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