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Harald Oberhauser

10 accepted papers

2025

Learning to Forget: Bayesian Time Series Forecasting using Recurrent Sparse Spectrum Signature Gaussian Processes

AISTATS 2025poster

The signature kernel is a kernel between time series of arbitrary length and comes with strong theoretical guarantees from stochastic analysis. It has found applications in machine learning such as covariance functions for Gaussian processes. A strength of the underlying signature features is that…

Cited by 0SourceScholar
2024

Adaptive Batch Sizes for Active Learning: A Probabilistic Numerics Approach

AISTATS 2024poster

Active learning parallelization is widely used, but typically relies on fixing the batch size throughout experimentation. This fixed approach is inefficient because of a dynamic trade-off between cost and speed—larger batches are more costly, smaller batches lead to slower wall-clock run-times—and t…

2023

Sampling-based Nyström Approximation and Kernel Quadrature

ICML 2023poster

We analyze the Nyström approximation of a positive definite kernel associated with a probability measure. We first prove an improved error bound for the conventional Nyström approximation with i.i.d. sampling and singular-value decomposition in the continuous regime; the proof techniques are borrowe…

2022

Capturing Graphs with Hypo-Elliptic Diffusions

NeurIPS 2022accept

Convolutional layers within graph neural networks operate by aggregating information about local neighbourhood structures; one common way to encode such substructures is through random walks. The distribution of these random walks evolves according to a diffusion equation defined using the graph Lap…

2022

Fast Bayesian Inference with Batch Bayesian Quadrature via Kernel Recombination

NeurIPS 2022accept

Calculation of Bayesian posteriors and model evidences typically requires numerical integration. Bayesian quadrature (BQ), a surrogate-model-based approach to numerical integration, is capable of superb sample efficiency, but its lack of parallelisation has hindered its practical applications. In…

2022

Positively Weighted Kernel Quadrature via Subsampling

NeurIPS 2022accept

We study kernel quadrature rules with convex weights. Our approach combines the spectral properties of the kernel with recombination results about point measures. This results in effective algorithms that construct convex quadrature rules using only access to i.i.d. samples from the underlying measu…

2021

Seq2Tens: An Efficient Representation of Sequences by Low-Rank Tensor Projections

ICLR 2021poster

Sequential data such as time series, video, or text can be challenging to analyse as the ordered structure gives rise to complex dependencies. At the heart of this is non-commutativity, in the sense that reordering the elements of a sequence can completely change its meaning. We use a classical math…

2020

A Randomized Algorithm to Reduce the Support of Discrete Measures

NeurIPS 2020spotlight

Given a discrete probability measure supported on $N$ atoms and a set of $n$ real-valued functions, there exists a probability measure that is supported on a subset of $n+1$ of the original $N$ atoms and has the same mean when integrated against each of the $n$ functions. If $ N \gg n$ this results…

2020

Bayesian Learning from Sequential Data using Gaussian Processes with Signature Covariances

ICML 2020poster

We develop a Bayesian approach to learning from sequential data by using Gaussian processes (GPs) with so-called signature kernels as covariance functions. This allows to make sequences of different length comparable and to rely on strong theoretical results from stochastic analysis. Signatures capt…