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Ilker Demirel

8 accepted papers

2026

Uncovering Bias Mechanisms in Observational Studies

ICML 2026poster

Observational studies are a key resource for causal inference but are often affected by systematic biases. Prior work has focused mainly on detecting these biases, via sensitivity analyses and comparisons with randomized controlled trials, or mitigating them through debiasing techniques. However, th…

Cited by 0SourceScholar
2025

Prediction-Powered Causal Inferences

NeurIPS 2025poster

In many scientific experiments, the data annotating cost constraints the pace for testing novel hypotheses. Yet, modern machine learning pipelines offer a promising solution—provided their predictions yield correct conclusions. We focus on Prediction-Powered Causal Inferences (PPCI), i.e., estimatin…

Cited by 0SourceScholar
2025

Scalable Universal T-Cell Receptor Embeddings from Adaptive Immune Repertoires

ICLR 2025poster

T cells are a key component of the adaptive immune system, targeting infections, cancers, and allergens with specificity encoded by their T cell receptors (TCRs), and retaining a memory of their targets. High-throughput TCR repertoire sequencing captures a cross-section of TCRs that encode the immun…

Cited by 0SourcePDFScholar
2024

Benchmarking Observational Studies with Experimental Data under Right-Censoring

AISTATS 2024poster

Drawing causal inferences from observational studies (OS) requires unverifiable validity assumptions; however, one can falsify those assumptions by benchmarking the OS with experimental data from a randomized controlled trial (RCT). A major limitation of existing procedures is not accounting for cen…

2024

Prediction-powered Generalization of Causal Inferences

ICML 2024poster

Causal inferences from a randomized controlled trial (RCT) may not pertain to a *target* population where some effect modifiers have a different distribution. Prior work studies *generalizing* the results of a trial to a target population with no outcome but covariate data available. We show how the…

2023

Falsification of Internal and External Validity in Observational Studies via Conditional Moment Restrictions

AISTATS 2023poster

Randomized Controlled Trials (RCT)s are relied upon to assess new treatments, but suffer from limited power to guide personalized treatment decisions. On the other hand, observational (i.e., non-experimental) studies have large and diverse populations, but are prone to various biases (e.g. residual…

Cited by 10SourcePDFScholar
2022

ESCADA: Efficient Safety and Context Aware Dose Allocation for Precision Medicine

NeurIPS 2022accept

Finding an optimal individualized treatment regimen is considered one of the most challenging precision medicine problems. Various patient characteristics influence the response to the treatment, and hence, there is no one-size-fits-all regimen. Moreover, the administration of an unsafe dose during…