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Jesse C Cresswell

17 accepted papers

2026

Textual Bayes: Quantifying Uncertainty in LLM-Based Systems

ICLR 2026poster

Although large language models (LLMs) are becoming increasingly capable of solving challenging real-world tasks, accurately quantifying their uncertainty remains a critical open problem—one that limits their applicability in high-stakes domains. This challenge is further compounded by the closed-sou…

Cited by 0SourcecodeScholar
2025

A Geometric Framework for Understanding Memorization in Generative Models

ICLR 2025spotlight

As deep generative models have progressed, recent work has shown them to be capable of memorizing and reproducing training datapoints when deployed. These findings call into question the usability of generative models, especially in light of the legal and privacy risks brought about by memorization.…

Cited by 7SourcePDFScholar
2025

CausalPFN: Amortized Causal Effect Estimation via In-Context Learning

NeurIPS 2025spotlight

Causal effect estimation from observational data is fundamental across various applications. However, selecting an appropriate estimator from dozens of specialized methods demands substantial manual effort and domain expertise. We present CausalPFN, a single transformer that *amortizes* this workflo…

Cited by 0SourcecodeScholar
2025

Conformal Prediction Sets Can Cause Disparate Impact

ICLR 2025spotlight

Conformal prediction is a statistically rigorous method for quantifying uncertainty in models by having them output sets of predictions, with larger sets indicating more uncertainty. However, prediction sets are not inherently actionable; many applications require a single output to act on, not seve…

2025

Document Summarization with Conformal Importance Guarantees

NeurIPS 2025poster

Automatic summarization systems have advanced rapidly with large language models (LLMs), yet they still lack reliable guarantees on inclusion of critical content in high-stakes domains like healthcare, law, and finance. In this work, we introduce Conformal Importance Summarization, the first framewo…

Cited by 0SourcecodeScholar
2025

MSc-SQL: Multi-Sample Critiquing Small Language Models For Text-To-SQL Translation

NAACL 2025long

Text-to-SQL generation enables non-experts to interact with databases via natural language. Recent advances rely on large closed-source models like GPT-4 that present challenges in accessibility, privacy, and latency. To address these issues, we focus on developing small, efficient, and open-source…

2025

TabDPT: Scaling Tabular Foundation Models on Real Data

NeurIPS 2025poster

Tabular data is one of the most ubiquitous sources of information worldwide, spanning a wide variety of domains. This inherent heterogeneity has slowed the development of Tabular Foundation Models (TFMs) capable of fast generalization to unseen datasets. In-Context Learning (ICL) has recently emerge…

Cited by 0SourcecodeScholar
2024

A Geometric Explanation of the Likelihood OOD Detection Paradox

ICML 2024poster

Likelihood-based deep generative models (DGMs) commonly exhibit a puzzling behaviour: when trained on a relatively complex dataset, they assign higher likelihood values to out-of-distribution (OOD) data from simpler sources. Adding to the mystery, OOD samples are never generated by these DGMs despit…

2024

A Geometric View of Data Complexity: Efficient Local Intrinsic Dimension Estimation with Diffusion Models

NeurIPS 2024spotlight

High-dimensional data commonly lies on low-dimensional submanifolds, and estimating the local intrinsic dimension (LID) of a datum -- i.e. the dimension of the submanifold it belongs to -- is a longstanding problem. LID can be understood as the number of local factors of variation: the more factors…

2024

Conformal Prediction Sets Improve Human Decision Making

ICML 2024poster

In response to everyday queries, humans explicitly signal uncertainty and offer alternative answers when they are unsure. Machine learning models that output calibrated prediction sets through conformal prediction mimic this human behaviour; larger sets signal greater uncertainty while providing alt…

2024

Data-Efficient Multimodal Fusion on a Single GPU

CVPR 2024highlight

The goal of multimodal alignment is to learn a single latent space that is shared between multimodal inputs. The most powerful models in this space have been trained using massive datasets of paired inputs and large-scale computational resources making them prohibitively expensive to train in many p…

2024

Self-supervised Representation Learning from Random Data Projectors

ICLR 2024poster

Self-supervised representation learning (SSRL) has advanced considerably by exploiting the transformation invariance assumption under artificially designed data augmentations. While augmentation-based SSRL algorithms push the boundaries of performance in computer vision and natural language processi…

2023

Disparate Impact in Differential Privacy from Gradient Misalignment

ICLR 2023top-25%

As machine learning becomes more widespread throughout society, aspects including data privacy and fairness must be carefully considered, and are crucial for deployment in highly regulated industries. Unfortunately, the application of privacy enhancing technologies can worsen unfair tendencies in mo…

2023

Exposing flaws of generative model evaluation metrics and their unfair treatment of diffusion models

NeurIPS 2023poster

We systematically study a wide variety of generative models spanning semantically-diverse image datasets to understand and improve the feature extractors and metrics used to evaluate them. Using best practices in psychophysics, we measure human perception of image realism for generated samples by co…

2023

Verifying the Union of Manifolds Hypothesis for Image Data

ICLR 2023poster

Deep learning has had tremendous success at learning low-dimensional representations of high-dimensional data. This success would be impossible if there was no hidden low-dimensional structure in data of interest; this existence is posited by the manifold hypothesis, which states that the data lies…

2021

C-Learning: Horizon-Aware Cumulative Accessibility Estimation

ICLR 2021poster

Multi-goal reaching is an important problem in reinforcement learning needed to achieve algorithmic generalization. Despite recent advances in this field, current algorithms suffer from three major challenges: high sample complexity, learning only a single way of reaching the goals, and difficultie…

2021

Tractable Density Estimation on Learned Manifolds with Conformal Embedding Flows

NeurIPS 2021poster

Normalizing flows are generative models that provide tractable density estimation via an invertible transformation from a simple base distribution to a complex target distribution. However, this technique cannot directly model data supported on an unknown low-dimensional manifold, a common occurrenc…