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Onno Zoeter

3 accepted papers

2025

Conditional Forecasts and Proper Scoring Rules for Reliable and Accurate Performative Predictions

NeurIPS 2025poster

Performative predictions are forecasts which influence the outcomes they aim to predict, undermining the existence of correct forecasts and standard methods of elicitation and estimation. We show that conditioning forecasts on covariates that separate them from the outcome renders the target distrib…

Cited by 0SourceScholar
2025

Revisiting the Berkeley Admissions data: Statistical Tests for Causal Hypotheses

UAI 2025

Reasoning about fairness through correlation-based notions is rife with pitfalls. The 1973 University of California, Berkeley graduate school admissions case from \citet{BickelHO75} is a classic example of one such pitfall, namely Simpson’s paradox. The discrepancy in admission rates among male and

2023

Correcting for selection bias and missing response in regression using privileged information

UAI 2023poster

When estimating a regression model, we might have data where some labels are missing, or our data might be biased by a selection mechanism. When the response or selection mechanism is ignorable (i.e., independent of the response variable given the features) one can use off-the-shelf regression metho…