← Search

Samuel Müller

8 accepted papers

2025

FairPFN: A Tabular Foundation Model for Causal Fairness

ICML 2025poster

Machine learning (ML) systems are utilized in critical sectors such as healthcare, law enforcement, and finance, but often rely on historical data that contains demographic biases, leading to decisions that perpetuate or intensify existing inequalities. Causal and counterfactual fairness provide a t…

2025

Position: The Future of Bayesian Prediction Is Prior-Fitted

ICML 2025poster

Training neural networks on randomly generated artificial datasets yields Bayesian models that capture the prior defined by the dataset-generating distribution. Prior-data Fitted Networks (PFNs) are a class of methods designed to leverage this insight. In an era of rapidly increasing computational r…

Cited by 0SourcePDFScholar
2024

Drift-Resilient TabPFN: In-Context Learning Temporal Distribution Shifts on Tabular Data

NeurIPS 2024poster

While most ML models expect independent and identically distributed data, this assumption is often violated in real-world scenarios due to distribution shifts, resulting in the degradation of machine learning model performance. Until now, no tabular method has consistently outperformed classical sup…

Cited by 3SourcePDFScholar
2023

Efficient Bayesian Learning Curve Extrapolation using Prior-Data Fitted Networks

NeurIPS 2023poster

Learning curve extrapolation aims to predict model performance in later epochs of training, based on the performance in earlier epochs. In this work, we argue that, while the inherent uncertainty in the extrapolation of learning curves warrants a Bayesian approach, existing methods are (i) overly re…

2023

Large Language Models for Automated Data Science: Introducing CAAFE for Context-Aware Automated Feature Engineering

NeurIPS 2023poster

As the field of automated machine learning (AutoML) advances, it becomes increasingly important to incorporate domain knowledge into these systems. We present an approach for doing so by harnessing the power of large language models (LLMs). Specifically, we introduce Context-Aware Automated Feature…

2023

PFNs4BO: In-Context Learning for Bayesian Optimization

ICML 2023poster

In this paper, we use Prior-data Fitted Networks (PFNs) as a flexible surrogate for Bayesian Optimization (BO). PFNs are neural processes that are trained to approximate the posterior predictive distribution (PPD) through in-context learning on any prior distribution that can be efficiently sampled…

2023

TabPFN: A Transformer That Solves Small Tabular Classification Problems in a Second

ICLR 2023top-25%

We present TabPFN, a trained Transformer that can do supervised classification for small tabular datasets in less than a second, needs no hyperparameter tuning and is competitive with state-of-the-art classification methods. TabPFN is fully entailed in the weights of our network, which accepts train…

2022

Transformers Can Do Bayesian Inference

ICLR 2022poster

Currently, it is hard to reap the benefits of deep learning for Bayesian methods, which allow the explicit specification of prior knowledge and accurately capture model uncertainty. We present Prior-Data Fitted Networks (PFNs). PFNs leverage large-scale machine learning techniques to approximate a l…