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Santiago Cortes-Gomez

5 accepted papers

2025

Data-driven Design of Randomized Control Trials with Guaranteed Treatment Effects

ICML 2025poster

Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) generate guarantees for treatment effects. However, RCTs often spend unnecessary resources exploring sub-optimal treatments, which can reduce the power of treatment guarantees. To address this, we propose a two-stage RCT design. In the first stage, a data-driven s…

Cited by 0SourcePDFScholar
2025

Predicting Language Models’ Success at Zero-Shot Probabilistic Prediction

EMNLP 2025

Recent work has investigated the capabilities of large language models (LLMs) as zero-shot models for generating individual-level characteristics (e.g., to serve as risk models or augment survey datasets). However, when should a user have confidence that an LLM will provide high-quality predictions

2025

Utility-Directed Conformal Prediction: A Decision-Aware Framework for Actionable Uncertainty Quantification

ICLR 2025poster

There is increasing interest in ``decision-focused" machine learning methods which train models to account for how their predictions are used in downstream optimization problems. Doing so can often improve performance on subsequent decision problems. However, current methods for uncertainty quantifi…

Cited by 0SourcePDFScholar
2024

Statistical Inference Under Constrained Selection Bias

ICML 2024poster

Large-scale datasets are increasingly being used to inform decision making. While this effort aims to ground policy in real-world evidence, challenges have arisen as selection bias and other forms of distribution shifts often plague observational data. Previous attempts to provide robust inference h…

Cited by 2SourcePDFScholar