3 accepted papers
Bayes--assisted conformal prediction combines the strengths of Bayesian modelling with exact, distribution--free frequentist coverage guarantees. While validity holds even under model misspecification, the size of the prediction sets can degrade significantly when the prior is poorly aligned with th…
Given a large pool of unlabelled data and a smaller amount of labels, prediction-powered inference (PPI) leverages machine learning predictions to increase the statistical efficiency of confidence interval procedures based solely on labelled data, while preserving fixed-time validity. In this paper,…
Prediction-powered inference (PPI) enables valid statistical inference by combining experimental data with machine learning predictions. When a sufficient number of high-quality predictions is available, PPI results in more accurate estimates and tighter confidence intervals than traditional methods…