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Thomas Nagler

8 accepted papers

2025

Adjustment for Confounding using Pre-Trained Representations

ICML 2025poster

There is growing interest in extending average treatment effect (ATE) estimation to incorporate non-tabular data, such as images and text, which may act as sources of confounding. Neglecting these effects risks biased results and flawed scientific conclusions. However, incorporating non-tabular data…

2025

Hybrid Bernstein Normalizing Flows for Flexible Multivariate Density Regression with Interpretable Marginals

UAI 2025

Density regression models allow a comprehensive understanding of data by modeling the complete conditional probability distribution. While flexible estimation approaches such as normalizing flows (NFs) work particularly well in multiple dimensions, interpreting the input-output relationship of such

2024

Generalizing Orthogonalization for Models with Non-Linearities

ICML 2024poster

The complexity of black-box algorithms can lead to various challenges, including the introduction of biases. These biases present immediate risks in the algorithms’ application. It was, for instance, shown that neural networks can deduce racial information solely from a patient's X-ray scan, a task…

2024

Label-wise Aleatoric and Epistemic Uncertainty Quantification

UAI 2024poster

We present a novel approach to uncertainty quantification in classification tasks based on label-wise decomposition of uncertainty measures. This label-wise perspective allows uncertainty to be quantified at the individual class level, thereby improving cost-sensitive decision-making and helping und…

2024

Reshuffling Resampling Splits Can Improve Generalization of Hyperparameter Optimization

NeurIPS 2024poster

Hyperparameter optimization is crucial for obtaining peak performance of machine learning models. The standard protocol evaluates various hyperparameter configurations using a resampling estimate of the generalization error to guide optimization and select a final hyperparameter configuration. Witho…

Cited by 4SourcePDFScholar
2023

Approximately Bayes-optimal pseudo-label selection

UAI 2023poster

Semi-supervised learning by self-training heavily relies on pseudo-label selection (PLS). This selection often depends on the initial model fit on labeled data. Early overfitting might thus be propagated to the final model by selecting instances with overconfident but erroneous predictions, often re…

Cited by 9SourcePDFScholar