8 accepted papers
Rainfall forecasting presents a dual challenge: extreme zero inflation, where dry days dominate and obscure meaningful precipitation patterns, and pronounced nonstationarity, where climate dynamics evolve across time and regimes. We propose the Deep Extreme Transformer (DET), a principled architectu
Drought prediction is crucial for disaster mitigation, yet it remains challenging due to the complexity and variability of drought events. Although time series foundation models (TSFMs) have shown great potential in general time series forecasting problems, they struggle to adapt to regional hydrolo
Regional climate prediction presents unique challenges for time series foundation models, which typically process temporal patterns through a single-pass inference. Expert climatologists, in contrast, employ multi-scale temporal analysis and iterative refinement based on systematic error diagnosis. …
Global Climate Models (GCMs) are crucial for predicting future climate changes by simulating the Earth systems. However, GCM outputs exhibit systematic biases due to model uncertainties, parameterization simplifications, and inadequate representation of complex climate phenomena. Traditional bias co
In high-stakes domains such as healthcare, finance, and law, the need for explainable AI is critical. Traditional methods for generating attribution maps, including white-box approaches relying on gradients and black-box techniques that perturb inputs, face challenges like gradient vanishing, blurre…
Estimating causal effects is crucial for decision-makers in many applications, but it is particularly challenging with observational network data due to peer interactions. Some algorithms have been proposed to estimate causal effects involving network data, particularly peer effects, but they often…
Causal inference from longitudinal observational data is a challenging problem due to the difficulty in correctly identifying the time-dependent confounders, especially in the presence of latent time-dependent confounders. Instrumental variable (IV) is a powerful tool for addressing the latent confo…
This paper proposes a novel efficient multi-phase trajectory generation algorithm for dynamic dexterous manipulation tasks, such as throwing, catching, dynamic regrasping, and dynamic handover, which can be decomposed into multiple manipulation primitives, including sticking, rolling, approaching, s…