Destination inference using bridging distributions

Abstract

We propose a novel probabilistic inference approach that permits predicting, well in advance, the intended destination of a pointing gesture aimed at selecting an icon on an in-vehicle interactive display. It models the partial 3D pointing track as a Markov bridge terminating at a nominal destination. The solution introduced leads to a low-complexity Kalman-filter-type implementation and is applicable in other areas in which early detection of the destination of a tracked object is beneficial. Data collected in an instrumented vehicle illustrate that the proposed technique can infer the intent notably early in the pointing gesture. This can drastically reduce the pointing task time and visual-cognitive-manual attention required.