SCIURus: Shared Circuits for Interpretable Uncertainty Representations in Language Models
Carter Teplica, Yixin Liu, Arman Cohan, Tim G. J. Rudner
Abstract
We investigate the mechanistic sources of uncertainty in large language models (LLMs), an area with important implications for language model reliability and trustworthiness. To do so, we conduct a series of experiments designed to identify whether the factuality of generated responses and a model’s uncertainty originate in separate or shared circuits in the model architecture. We approach this question by adapting the well-established mechanistic interpretability techniques of causal tracing and zero-ablation to study the effect of different circuits on LLM generations. Our experiments on eight different models and five datasets, representing tasks predominantly requiring factual recall, provide strong evidence that a model’s uncertainty is produced in the same parts of the network that are responsible for the factuality of generated responses.
BibTeX
@inproceedings{teplica-etal-2025-sciurus,
title = "{SCIUR}us: Shared Circuits for Interpretable Uncertainty Representations in Language Models",
author = "Teplica, Carter and
Liu, Yixin and
Cohan, Arman and
Rudner, Tim G. J.",
editor = "Chiruzzo, Luis and
Ritter, Alan and
Wang, Lu",
booktitle = "Proceedings of the 2025 Conference of the Nations of the Americas Chapter of the Association for Computational Linguistics: Human Language Technologies (Volume 1: Long Papers)",
month = apr,
year = "2025",
address = "Albuquerque, New Mexico",
publisher = "Association for Computational Linguistics",
url = "https://aclanthology.org/2025.naacl-long.618/",
pages = "12451--12469",
ISBN = "979-8-89176-189-6"
}