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Alexander Hägele

4 accepted papers

2026

The Hot Mess of AI: How Does Misalignment Scale With Model Intelligence and Task Complexity?

ICLR 2026poster

As AI becomes more capable, we entrust it with more general and consequential tasks. The risks from failure grow more severe with increasing task scope. It is therefore important to understand the ways extremely capable AI models will fail: Will they fail by systematically pursuing goals we do not…

Cited by 0SourcecodeScholar
2025

The Surprising Agreement Between Convex Optimization Theory and Learning-Rate Scheduling for Large Model Training

ICML 2025poster

We show that learning-rate schedules for large model training behave surprisingly similar to a performance bound from non-smooth convex optimization theory. We provide a bound for the constant schedule with linear cooldown; in particular, the practical benefit of cooldown is reflected in the bound d…

2024

Scaling Laws and Compute-Optimal Training Beyond Fixed Training Durations

NeurIPS 2024spotlight

Scale has become a main ingredient in obtaining strong machine learning models. As a result, understanding a model's scaling properties is key to effectively designing both the right training setup as well as future generations of architectures. In this work, we argue that scale and training researc…

2023

BaCaDI: Bayesian Causal Discovery with Unknown Interventions

AISTATS 2023poster

Inferring causal structures from experimentation is a central task in many domains. For example, in biology, recent advances allow us to obtain single-cell expression data under multiple interventions such as drugs or gene knockouts. However, the targets of the interventions are often uncertain or u…