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Alexander Rodríguez

5 accepted papers

2023

EINNs: Epidemiologically-Informed Neural Networks

AAAI 2023technical

We introduce EINNs, a framework crafted for epidemic forecasting that builds upon the theoretical grounds provided by mechanistic models as well as the data-driven expressibility afforded by AI models, and their capabilities to ingest heterogeneous information. Although neural forecasting models hav…

2022

Back2Future: Leveraging Backfill Dynamics for Improving Real-time Predictions in Future

ICLR 2022poster

For real-time forecasting in domains like public health and macroeconomics, data collection is a non-trivial and demanding task. Often after being initially released, it undergoes several revisions later (maybe due to human or technical constraints) - as a result, it may take weeks until the data re…

2021

Steering a Historical Disease Forecasting Model Under a Pandemic: Case of Flu and COVID-19

AAAI 2021technical

Forecasting influenza in a timely manner aids health organizations and policymakers in adequate preparation and decision making. However, effective influenza forecasting still remains a challenge despite increasing research interest. It is even more challenging amidst the COVID pandemic, when the in…