4 accepted papers
The statistical consistency of surrogate losses for discrete prediction tasks is often checked using the condition of calibration. However, directly verifying calibration can be arduous. Recent work shows that for polyhedral surrogates, a less arduous condition, indirect elicitation (IE), is still e…
Beginning with Witkowski et al. (2023), recent work on forecasting competitions has addressed incentive problems with the common winner-take-all mechanism. Frongillo et al. (2021) propose a competition mechanism based on Multiplicative Weights, an online learning algorithm. They show that their mech…
In forecasting competitions, the traditional mechanism scores the predictions of each contestant against the outcome of each event, and the contestant with the highest total score wins. While it is well-known that this traditional mechanism can suffer from incentive issues, it is folklore that conte…
Top-$k$ classification is a generalization of multiclass classification used widely in information retrieval, image classification, and other extreme classification settings. Several hinge-like (piecewise-linear) surrogates have been proposed for the problem, yet all are either non-convex or inconsi…