6 accepted papers
We introduce a family of algorithms for online conformal prediction with coverage guarantees for both adversarial and stochastic data. In the adversarial setting, we establish the standard guarantee: over time, a pre-specified target fraction of confidence sets cover the ground truth. For stochastic…
We present a detailed study of cardinality-aware top-$k$ classification, a novel approach that aims to learn an accurate top-$k$ set predictor while maintaining a low cardinality. We introduce a new target loss function tailored to this setting that accounts for both the classification error and the…
Guaranteeing the correctness and factuality of language model (LM) outputs is a major open problem. In this work, we propose conformal factuality, a framework that can ensure high probability correctness guarantees for LMs by connecting language modeling and conformal prediction. Our insight is that…
We study the problem of classification with a reject option for a fixed predictor, crucial to natural language processing. We introduce a new problem formulation for this scenario, and an algorithm minimizing a new surrogate loss function. We provide a complete theoretical analysis of the surrogate…
We study a problem of batch distribution drift motivated by several applications, which consists of determining an accurate predictor for a target time segment, for which a moderate amount of labeled samples are at one’s disposal, while leveraging past segments for which substantially more labeled s…
We study a two-stage scenario for learning to defer with multiple experts, which is crucial in practice for many applications. In this scenario, a predictor is derived in a first stage by training with a common loss function such as cross-entropy. In the second stage, a deferral function is learne…