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François-Xavier Aubet

3 accepted papers

2022

Learning Quantile Functions without Quantile Crossing for Distribution-free Time Series Forecasting

AISTATS 2022poster

Quantile regression is an effective technique to quantify uncertainty, fit challenging underlying distributions, and often provide full probabilistic predictions through joint learnings over multiple quantile levels. A common drawback of these joint quantile regressions, however, is quantile crossin…

2022

Multivariate Quantile Function Forecaster

AISTATS 2022poster

We propose Multivariate Quantile Function Forecaster (MQF2), a global probabilistic forecasting method constructed using a multivariate quantile function and investigate its application to multi-horizon forecasting. Prior approaches are either autoregressive, implicitly capturing the dependency stru…

2022

Neural Contextual Anomaly Detection for Time Series

IJCAI 2022poster

We introduce Neural Contextual Anomaly Detection (NCAD), a framework for anomaly detection on time series that scales seamlessly from the unsupervised to supervised setting, and is applicable to both univariate and multivariate time series. This is achieved by combining recent developments in repres…