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Gerardo Duran-Martin

4 accepted papers

2026

Doubly Outlier-Robust Online Infinite Hidden Markov Model

ICML 2026poster

We derive a robust update rule for the online infinite hidden Markov model (iHMM) for when the streaming data contains outliers and the model is misspecified. Leveraging recent advances in generalised Bayesian inference, we define robustness via the posterior influence function (PIF), and provide co…

Cited by 0SourceScholar
2025

Martingale Posterior Neural Networks for Fast Sequential Decision Making

NeurIPS 2025poster

We introduce scalable algorithms for online learning of neural network parameters and Bayesian sequential decision making. Unlike classical Bayesian neural networks, which induce predictive uncertainty through a posterior over model parameters, our methods adopt a predictive-first perspective based…

Cited by 0SourceScholar
2024

Outlier-robust Kalman Filtering through Generalised Bayes

ICML 2024poster

We derive a novel, provably robust, efficient, and closed-form Bayesian update rule for online filtering in state-space models in the presence of outliers and misspecified measurement models. Our method combines generalised Bayesian inference with filtering methods such as the extended and ensemble…

2022

Efficient Online Bayesian Inference for Neural Bandits

AISTATS 2022poster

In this paper we present a new algorithm for online (sequential) inference in Bayesian neural networks, and show its suitability for tackling contextual bandit problems. The key idea is to combine the extended Kalman filter (which locally linearizes the likelihood function at each time step) with a…