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Joel Oskarsson

4 accepted papers

2025

Continuous Ensemble Weather Forecasting with Diffusion models

ICLR 2025poster

Weather forecasting has seen a shift in methods from numerical simulations to data-driven systems. While initial research in the area focused on deterministic forecasting, recent works have used diffusion models to produce skillful ensemble forecasts. These models are trained on a single forecasting…

2024

Probabilistic Weather Forecasting with Hierarchical Graph Neural Networks

NeurIPS 2024spotlight

In recent years, machine learning has established itself as a powerful tool for high-resolution weather forecasting. While most current machine learning models focus on deterministic forecasts, accurately capturing the uncertainty in the chaotic weather system calls for probabilistic modeling. We pr…

2022

Scalable Deep Gaussian Markov Random Fields for General Graphs

ICML 2022spotlight

Machine learning methods on graphs have proven useful in many applications due to their ability to handle generally structured data. The framework of Gaussian Markov Random Fields (GMRFs) provides a principled way to define Gaussian models on graphs by utilizing their sparsity structure. We propose…