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Kashif Rasul

11 accepted papers

2026

Improving Reasoning for Diffusion Language Models via Group Diffusion Policy Optimization

ICLR 2026poster

Diffusion language models (DLMs) enable parallel, order-agnostic generation with iterative refinement, offering a flexible alternative to autoregressive large language models (LLMs). However, adapting reinforcement learning (RL) fine-tuning to DLMs remains an open challenge because of the intractabl…

Cited by 0SourceScholar
2026

Margin-Aware Preference Optimization for Aligning Diffusion Models Without Reference

AAAI 2026technical

Modern preference alignment methods, such as DPO, rely on divergence regularization to a reference model for training stability—but this creates a fundamental problem we call "reference mismatch." In this paper, we investigate the negative impacts of reference mismatch in aligning text-to-image (T2I

Cited by 0SourcePDFScholar
2026

Riemannian Manifold Learning for Stackelberg Games with Neural Flow Representations

AAAI 2026technical

We present a novel framework for online learning in Stackelberg general-sum games, where two agents, the leader and follower, engage in sequential turn-based interactions. At the core of this approach is a learned diffeomorphism that maps the joint action space to a smooth spherical Riemannian manif

Cited by 0SourcePDFScholar
2026

Understanding the Mixture-of-Experts with Nadaraya-Watson Kernel

ICLR 2026poster

Mixture-of-Experts (MoE) has become a cornerstone in recent state-of-the-art large language models (LLMs). Traditionally, MoE relies on $\mathrm{Softmax}$ as the router score function to aggregate expert output, a designed choice that has persisted from the earliest MoE models to modern LLMs, and is…

Cited by 0SourceScholar
2025

TS-RAG: Retrieval-Augmented Generation based Time Series Foundation Models are Stronger Zero-Shot Forecaster

NeurIPS 2025poster

Large Language Models (LLMs) and Foundation Models (FMs) have recently become prevalent for time series forecasting tasks. While fine-tuning LLMs enables domain adaptation, they often struggle to generalize across diverse and unseen datasets. Moreover, existing Time Series Foundation Models (TSFMs)…

Cited by 0SourcecodeScholar
2024

VQ-TR: Vector Quantized Attention for Time Series Forecasting

ICLR 2024poster

Probabilistic time series forecasting is a challenging problem due to the long sequences involved, the large number of samples needed for accurate probabilistic inference, and the need for real-time inference in many applications. These challenges necessitate methods that are not only accurate but c…

Cited by 6SourcePDFScholar
2023

Modeling Temporal Data as Continuous Functions with Stochastic Process Diffusion

ICML 2023poster

Temporal data such as time series can be viewed as discretized measurements of the underlying function. To build a generative model for such data we have to model the stochastic process that governs it. We propose a solution by defining the denoising diffusion model in the function space which also…

Cited by 44SourcePDFScholar
2023

Provably Convergent Schrödinger Bridge with Applications to Probabilistic Time Series Imputation

ICML 2023poster

The Schrödinger bridge problem (SBP) is gaining increasing attention in generative modeling and showing promising potential even in comparison with the score-based generative models (SGMs). SBP can be interpreted as an entropy-regularized optimal transport problem, which conducts projections onto ev…

2023

Risk Bounds on Aleatoric Uncertainty Recovery

AISTATS 2023poster

Quantifying aleatoric uncertainty is a challenging task in machine learning. It is important for decision making associated with data-dependent uncertainty in model outcomes. Recently, many empirical studies in modeling aleatoric uncertainty under regression settings primarily rely on either a Gauss…

2021

Autoregressive Denoising Diffusion Models for Multivariate Probabilistic Time Series Forecasting

ICML 2021spotlight

In this work, we propose TimeGrad, an autoregressive model for multivariate probabilistic time series forecasting which samples from the data distribution at each time step by estimating its gradient. To this end, we use diffusion probabilistic models, a class of latent variable models closely conne…

2021

Multivariate Probabilistic Time Series Forecasting via Conditioned Normalizing Flows

ICLR 2021spotlight

Time series forecasting is often fundamental to scientific and engineering problems and enables decision making. With ever increasing data set sizes, a trivial solution to scale up predictions is to assume independence between interacting time series. However, modeling statistical dependencies can i…