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Manuel Gomez Rodriguez

23 accepted papers

2024

Controlling Counterfactual Harm in Decision Support Systems Based on Prediction Sets

NeurIPS 2024poster

Decision support systems based on prediction sets help humans solve multiclass classification tasks by narrowing down the set of potential label values to a subset of them, namely a prediction set, and asking them to always predict label values from the prediction sets. While this type of systems ha…

2024

Designing Decision Support Systems using Counterfactual Prediction Sets

ICML 2024spotlight

Decision support systems for classification tasks are predominantly designed to predict the value of the ground truth labels. However, since their predictions are not perfect, these systems also need to make human experts understand when and how to use these predictions to update their own predictio…

2024

Prediction-Powered Ranking of Large Language Models

NeurIPS 2024poster

Large language models are often ranked according to their level of alignment with human preferences---a model is better than other models if its outputs are more frequently preferred by humans. One of the popular ways to elicit human preferences utilizes pairwise comparisons between the outputs prov…

2024

Towards Human-AI Complementarity with Prediction Sets

NeurIPS 2024poster

Decision support systems based on prediction sets have proven to be effective at helping human experts solve classification tasks. Rather than providing single-label predictions, these systems provide sets of label predictions constructed using conformal prediction, namely prediction sets, and ask h…

2023

Finding Counterfactually Optimal Action Sequences in Continuous State Spaces

NeurIPS 2023poster

Whenever a clinician reflects on the efficacy of a sequence of treatment decisions for a patient, they may try to identify critical time steps where, had they made different decisions, the patient's health would have improved. While recent methods at the intersection of causal inference and reinforc…

2023

Human-Aligned Calibration for AI-Assisted Decision Making

NeurIPS 2023poster

Whenever a binary classifier is used to provide decision support, it typically provides both a label prediction and a confidence value. Then, the decision maker is supposed to use the confidence value to calibrate how much to trust the prediction. In this context, it has been often argued that the c…

2023

Improving Expert Predictions with Conformal Prediction

ICML 2023poster

Automated decision support systems promise to help human experts solve multiclass classification tasks more efficiently and accurately. However, existing systems typically require experts to understand when to cede agency to the system or when to exercise their own agency. Otherwise, the experts may…

2023

On the Within-Group Fairness of Screening Classifiers

ICML 2023poster

Screening classifiers are increasingly used to identify qualified candidates in a variety of selection processes. In this context, it has been recently shown that if a classifier is calibrated, one can identify the smallest set of candidates which contains, in expectation, a desired number of qualif…

2022

Improving Screening Processes via Calibrated Subset Selection

ICML 2022spotlight

Many selection processes such as finding patients qualifying for a medical trial or retrieval pipelines in search engines consist of multiple stages, where an initial screening stage focuses the resources on shortlisting the most promising candidates. In this paper, we investigate what guarantees a…

2021

Counterfactual Explanations in Sequential Decision Making Under Uncertainty

NeurIPS 2021poster

Methods to find counterfactual explanations have predominantly focused on one-step decision making processes. In this work, we initiate the development of methods to find counterfactual explanations for decision making processes in which multiple, dependent actions are taken sequentially over time.…

2020

Decisions, Counterfactual Explanations and Strategic Behavior

NeurIPS 2020poster

As data-driven predictive models are increasingly used to inform decisions, it has been argued that decision makers should provide explanations that help individuals understand what would have to change for these decisions to be beneficial ones. However, there has been little discussion on the possi…

2020

Fair Decisions Despite Imperfect Predictions

AISTATS 2020poster

Consequential decisions are increasingly informed by sophisticated data-driven predictive models. However, consistently learning accurate predictive models requires access to ground truth labels. Unfortunately, in practice, labels may only exist conditional on certain decisions—if a loan is denied,…

2020

On the design of consequential ranking algorithms

UAI 2020poster

Ranking models are typically designed to optimize some measure of immediate utility to the users. As a result, they have been unable to anticipate an increasing number of undesirable long-term consequences of their proposed rankings, from fueling the spread of misinformation and increasing polarizat…

Cited by 16SourcePDFScholar
2019

Teaching Multiple Concepts to a Forgetful Learner

NeurIPS 2019poster

How can we help a forgetful learner learn multiple concepts within a limited time frame? While there have been extensive studies in designing optimal schedules for teaching a single concept given a learner's memory model, existing approaches for teaching multiple concepts are typically based on heur…

Cited by 29SourcePDFScholar
2018

Deep Reinforcement Learning of Marked Temporal Point Processes

NeurIPS 2018poster

In a wide variety of applications, humans interact with a complex environment by means of asynchronous stochastic discrete events in continuous time. Can we design online interventions that will help humans achieve certain goals in such asynchronous setting? In this paper, we address the above probl…

2018

Enhancing the Accuracy and Fairness of Human Decision Making

NeurIPS 2018poster

Societies often rely on human experts to take a wide variety of decisions affecting their members, from jail-or-release decisions taken by judges and stop-and-frisk decisions taken by police officers to accept-or-reject decisions taken by academics. In this context, each decision is taken by an exp…

2016

Learning and Forecasting Opinion Dynamics in Social Networks

NeurIPS 2016poster

Social media and social networking sites have become a global pinboard for exposition and discussion of news, topics, and ideas, where social media users often update their opinions about a particular topic by learning from the opinions shared by their friends. In this context, can we learn a data-d…

Cited by 137SourcePDFScholar
2015

Back to the Past: Source Identification in Diffusion Networks from Partially Observed Cascades

AISTATS 2015poster

When a piece of malicious information becomes rampant in an information diffusion network, can we identify the source node that originally introduced the piece into the network and infer the time when it initiated this? Being able to do so is critical for curtailing the spread of malicious informati…

Cited by 106SourcePDFScholar
2015

COEVOLVE: A Joint Point Process Model for Information Diffusion and Network Co-evolution

NeurIPS 2015oral

Information diffusion in online social networks is affected by the underlying network topology, but it also has the power to change it. Online users are constantly creating new links when exposed to new information sources, and in turn these links are alternating the way information spreads. However…