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Nick Pawlowski

8 accepted papers

2024

Towards Causal Foundation Model: on Duality between Optimal Balancing and Attention

ICML 2024poster

Foundation models have brought changes to the landscape of machine learning, demonstrating sparks of human-level intelligence across a diverse array of tasks. However, a gap persists in complex tasks such as causal inference, primarily due to challenges associated with intricate reasoning steps and…

Cited by 4SourcePDFScholar
2023

BayesDAG: Gradient-Based Posterior Inference for Causal Discovery

NeurIPS 2023poster

Bayesian causal discovery aims to infer the posterior distribution over causal models from observed data, quantifying epistemic uncertainty and benefiting downstream tasks. However, computational challenges arise due to joint inference over combinatorial space of Directed Acyclic Graphs (DAGs) and n…

2023

High Fidelity Image Counterfactuals with Probabilistic Causal Models

ICML 2023poster

We present a general causal generative modelling framework for accurate estimation of high fidelity image counterfactuals with deep structural causal models. Estimation of interventional and counterfactual queries for high-dimensional structured variables, such as images, remains a challenging task.…

2023

Measuring axiomatic soundness of counterfactual image models

ICLR 2023poster

We present a general framework for evaluating image counterfactuals. The power and flexibility of deep generative models make them valuable tools for learning mechanisms in structural causal models. However, their flexibility makes counterfactual identifiability impossible in the general case. Motiv…

Cited by 25SourcePDFScholar
2023

Rhino: Deep Causal Temporal Relationship Learning with History-dependent Noise

ICLR 2023top-25%

Discovering causal relationships between different variables from time series data has been a long-standing challenge for many domains. For example, in stock markets, the announcement of acquisitions from leading companies may have immediate effects on stock prices and increase the uncertainty of th…

Cited by 39SourcePDFScholar
2022

Simultaneous Missing Value Imputation and Structure Learning with Groups

NeurIPS 2022accept

Learning structures between groups of variables from data with missing values is an important task in the real world, yet difficult to solve. One typical scenario is discovering the structure among topics in the education domain to identify learning pathways. Here, the observations are student perfo…

Cited by 22SourcePDFScholar
2020

Deep Structural Causal Models for Tractable Counterfactual Inference

NeurIPS 2020poster

We formulate a general framework for building structural causal models (SCMs) with deep learning components. The proposed approach employs normalising flows and variational inference to enable tractable inference of exogenous noise variables - a crucial step for counterfactual inference that is miss…

2020

Stochastic Segmentation Networks: Modelling Spatially Correlated Aleatoric Uncertainty

NeurIPS 2020poster

In image segmentation, there is often more than one plausible solution for a given input. In medical imaging, for example, experts will often disagree about the exact location of object boundaries. Estimating this inherent uncertainty and predicting multiple plausible hypotheses is of great interest…