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Patrick Blöbaum

7 accepted papers

2025

Root Cause Analysis of Outliers with Missing Structural Knowledge

NeurIPS 2025poster

The goal of Root Cause Analysis (RCA) is to explain why an anomaly occurred by identifying where the fault originated. Several recent works model the anomalous event as resulting from a change in the causal mechanism at the root cause, i.e., as a soft intervention. RCA is then the task of identifyin…

Cited by 0SourceScholar
2025

Toward Falsifying Causal Graphs Using a Permutation-Based Test

AAAI 2025technical

Understanding causal relationships among the variables of a system is paramount to explain and control its behavior. For many real-world systems, however, the true causal graph is not readily available and one must resort to predictions made by algorithms or domain experts. Therefore, metrics that q…

2024

Causal vs. Anticausal merging of predictors

NeurIPS 2024poster

We study the differences arising from merging predictors in the causal and anticausal directions using the same data. In particular we study the asymmetries that arise in a simple model where we merge the predictors using one binary variable as target and two continuous variables as predictors. We u…

Cited by 0SourcePDFScholar
2024

Quantifying intrinsic causal contributions via structure preserving interventions

AISTATS 2024poster

We propose a notion of causal influence that describes the ‘intrinsic’ part of the contribution of a node on a target node in a DAG. By recursively writing each node as a function of the upstream noise terms, we separate the intrinsic information added by each node from the one obtained from its anc…

Cited by 11SourcePDFScholar
2023

Manifold Restricted Interventional Shapley Values

AISTATS 2023poster

Shapley values are model-agnostic methods for explaining model predictions. Many commonly used methods of computing Shapley values, known as off-manifold methods, rely on model evaluations on out-of-distribution input samples. Consequently, explanations obtained are sensitive to model behaviour outs…

2023

Sequential Kernelized Independence Testing

ICML 2023poster

Independence testing is a classical statistical problem that has been extensively studied in the batch setting when one fixes the sample size before collecting data. However, practitioners often prefer procedures that adapt to the complexity of a problem at hand instead of setting sample size in adv…

Cited by 25SourcePDFScholar
2023

Thompson Sampling with Diffusion Generative Prior

ICML 2023poster

In this work, we initiate the idea of using denoising diffusion models to learn priors for online decision making problems. We specifically focus on bandit meta-learning, aiming to learn a policy that performs well across bandit tasks of a same class. To this end, we train a diffusion model that lea…

Cited by 7SourcePDFScholar