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Paulo Orenstein

5 accepted papers

2024

BlockBoost: Scalable and Efficient Blocking through Boosting

AISTATS 2024poster

As datasets grow larger, matching and merging entries from different databases has become a costly task in modern data pipelines. To avoid expensive comparisons between entries, blocking similar items is a popular preprocessing step. In this paper, we introduce BlockBoost, a novel boosting-based met…

2023

AmnioML: Amniotic Fluid Segmentation and Volume Prediction with Uncertainty Quantification

AAAI 2023technical

Accurately predicting the volume of amniotic fluid is fundamental to assessing pregnancy risks, though the task usually requires many hours of laborious work by medical experts. In this paper, we present AmnioML, a machine learning solution that leverages deep learning and conformal prediction to o…

2023

SubseasonalClimateUSA: A Dataset for Subseasonal Forecasting and Benchmarking

NeurIPS 2023poster

Subseasonal forecasting of the weather two to six weeks in advance is critical for resource allocation and advance disaster notice but poses many challenges for the forecasting community. At this forecast horizon, physics-based dynamical models have limited skill, and the targets for prediction depe…

2022

ExactBoost: Directly Boosting the Margin in Combinatorial and Non-decomposable Metrics

AISTATS 2022poster

Many classification algorithms require the use of surrogate losses when the intended loss function is combinatorial or non-decomposable. This paper introduces a fast and exact stagewise optimization algorithm, dubbed ExactBoost, that boosts stumps to the actual loss function. By developing a novel e…

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2021

Online Learning with Optimism and Delay

ICML 2021spotlight

Inspired by the demands of real-time climate and weather forecasting, we develop optimistic online learning algorithms that require no parameter tuning and have optimal regret guarantees under delayed feedback. Our algorithms—DORM, DORM+, and AdaHedgeD—arise from a novel reduction of delayed online…