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Alexander Volfovsky

12 accepted papers

2025

Data Fusion for Partial Identification of Causal Effects

NeurIPS 2025poster

Data fusion techniques integrate information from heterogeneous data sources to improve learning, generalization, and decision-making across data sciences. In causal inference, these methods leverage rich observational data to improve causal effect estimation, while maintaining the trustworthiness o…

Cited by 0SourceScholar
2024

Evaluating Pre-trial Programs Using Interpretable Machine Learning Matching Algorithms for Causal Inference

AAAI 2024technical

After a person is arrested and charged with a crime, they may be released on bail and required to participate in a community supervision program while awaiting trial. These 'pre-trial programs' are common throughout the United States, but very little research has demonstrated their effectiveness. Re…

Cited by 2SourcePDFScholar
2024

Hidden Population Estimation with Indirect Inference and Auxiliary Information

UAI 2024poster

Many populations defined by illegal or stigmatized behavior are difficult to sample using conventional survey methodology. Respondent Driven Sampling (RDS) is a participant referral process frequently employed in this context to collect information. This sampling methodology can be modeled as a stoc…

2024

Interpretable Causal Inference for Analyzing Wearable, Sensor, and Distributional Data

AISTATS 2024poster

Many modern causal questions ask how treatments affect complex outcomes that are measured using wearable devices and sensors. Current analysis approaches require summarizing these data into scalar statistics (e.g., the mean), but these summaries can be misleading. For example, disparate distribution…

2024

Safe and Interpretable Estimation of Optimal Treatment Regimes

AISTATS 2024poster

Recent advancements in statistical and reinforcement learning methods have contributed to superior patient care strategies. However, these methods face substantial challenges in high-stakes contexts, including missing data, stochasticity, and the need for interpretability and patient safety. Our wor…

2023

Experimental Designs for Heteroskedastic Variance

NeurIPS 2023poster

Most linear experimental design problems assume homogeneous variance, while the presence of heteroskedastic noise is present in many realistic settings. Let a learner have access to a finite set of measurement vectors $\mathcal{X}\subset \mathbb{R}^d$ that can be probed to receive noisy linear resp…

Cited by 5SourcePDFScholar
2023

Variable importance matching for causal inference

UAI 2023poster

Our goal is to produce methods for observational causal inference that are auditable, easy to troubleshoot, yield accurate treatment effect estimates, and scalable to high-dimensional data. We describe a general framework called Model-to-Match that achieves these goals by (i) learning a distance met…

2020

Adaptive Hyper-box Matching for Interpretable Individualized Treatment Effect Estimation

UAI 2020poster

We propose a matching method for observational data that matches units with others in unit-specific, hyper-box-shaped regions of the covariate space. These regions are large enough that many matches are created for each unit and small enough that the treatment effect is roughly constant throughout.…

2020

Almost-Matching-Exactly for Treatment Effect Estimation under Network Interference

AISTATS 2020poster

We propose a matching method that recovers direct treatment effects from randomized experiments where units are connected in an observed network, and units that share edges can potentially influence each others’ outcomes. Traditional treatment effect estimators for randomized experiments are biased…

Cited by 19SourcePDFScholar
2019

Interpretable Almost Matching Exactly With Instrumental Variables

UAI 2019poster

Uncertainty in the estimation of the causal effect in observational studies is often due to unmeasured confounding, i.e., the presence of unobserved covariates linking treatments and outcomes. Instrumental Variables (IV) are commonly used to reduce the effects of unmeasured confounding. Existing met…

Cited by 4SourcePDFScholar
2019

Interpretable Almost-Exact Matching for Causal Inference

AISTATS 2019poster

Matching methods are heavily used in the social and health sciences due to their interpretability. We aim to create the highest possible quality of treatment-control matches for categorical data in the potential outcomes framework. The method proposed in this work aims to match units on a weighted H…