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Charlotte Peale

3 accepted papers

2025

Provable Uncertainty Decomposition via Higher-Order Calibration

ICLR 2025spotlight

We give a principled method for decomposing the predictive uncertainty of a model into aleatoric and epistemic components with explicit semantics relating them to the real-world data distribution. While many works in the literature have proposed such decompositions, they lack the type of formal guar…

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