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Gustaf Ahdritz

3 accepted papers

2025

Provable Uncertainty Decomposition via Higher-Order Calibration

ICLR 2025spotlight

We give a principled method for decomposing the predictive uncertainty of a model into aleatoric and epistemic components with explicit semantics relating them to the real-world data distribution. While many works in the literature have proposed such decompositions, they lack the type of formal guar…

Cited by 1SourcePDFScholar
2024

Distinguishing the Knowable from the Unknowable with Language Models

ICML 2024poster

We study the feasibility of identifying *epistemic* uncertainty (reflecting a lack of knowledge), as opposed to *aleatoric* uncertainty (reflecting entropy in the underlying distribution), in the outputs of large language models (LLMs) over free-form text. In the absence of ground-truth probabilitie…

2023

OpenProteinSet: Training data for structural biology at scale

NeurIPS 2023poster

Multiple sequence alignments (MSAs) of proteins encode rich biological information and have been workhorses in bioinformatic methods for tasks like protein design and protein structure prediction for decades. Recent breakthroughs like AlphaFold2 that use transformers to attend directly over large qu…