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Parikshit Gopalan

7 accepted papers

2025

Learning to Route LLMs with Confidence Tokens

ICML 2025poster

Large language models (LLMs) have demonstrated impressive performance on several tasks and are increasingly deployed in real-world applications. However, especially in high-stakes settings, it becomes vital to know when the output of an LLM may be unreliable. Depending on whether an answer is trustw…

Cited by 0SourcePDFScholar
2025

Provable Uncertainty Decomposition via Higher-Order Calibration

ICLR 2025spotlight

We give a principled method for decomposing the predictive uncertainty of a model into aleatoric and epistemic components with explicit semantics relating them to the real-world data distribution. While many works in the literature have proposed such decompositions, they lack the type of formal guar…

Cited by 1SourcePDFScholar
2023

Agnostically Learning Single-Index Models using Omnipredictors

NeurIPS 2023poster

We give the first result for agnostically learning Single-Index Models (SIMs) with arbitrary monotone and Lipschitz activations. All prior work either held only in the realizable setting or required the activation to be known. Moreover, we only require the marginal to have bounded second moments, wh…

Cited by 15SourcePDFScholar
2023

Swap Agnostic Learning, or Characterizing Omniprediction via Multicalibration

NeurIPS 2023poster

We introduce and study the notion of Swap Agnostic Learning. The problem can be phrased as a game between a *predictor* and an *adversary*: first, the predictor selects a hypothesis $h$; then, the adversary plays in response, and for each level set of the predictor, selects a loss-minimizing hypoth…

Cited by 26SourcePDFScholar
2023

When Does Optimizing a Proper Loss Yield Calibration?

NeurIPS 2023spotlight

Optimizing proper loss functions is popularly believed to yield predictors with good calibration properties; the intuition being that for such losses, the global optimum is to predict the ground-truth probabilities, which is indeed calibrated. However, typical machine learning models are trained to…

Cited by 31SourcePDFScholar
2019

PIDForest: Anomaly Detection via Partial Identification

NeurIPS 2019spotlight

We consider the problem of detecting anomalies in a large dataset. We propose a framework called Partial Identification which captures the intuition that anomalies are easy to distinguish from the overwhelming majority of points by relatively few attribute values. Formalizing this intuition, we prop…