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David Moens

4 accepted papers

2026

Credal Ensemble Distillation for Uncertainty Quantification

AAAI 2026technical

Deep ensembles (DE) have emerged as a powerful approach for quantifying predictive uncertainty and distinguishing its aleatoric and epistemic components, thereby enhancing model robustness and reliability. However, their high computational and memory costs during inference pose significant challenge

Cited by 0SourcePDFScholar
2026

Learning Credal Ensembles via Distributionally Robust Optimization

ICML 2026spotlight

Credal predictors are epistemic-uncertainty-aware models that produce a convex set of probabilistic predictions. They provide a principled framework for quantifying predictive epistemic uncertainty (EU) and have been shown to improve model robustness across a range of settings. However, most state-o…

Cited by 0SourceScholar
2025

Credal Wrapper of Model Averaging for Uncertainty Estimation in Classification

ICLR 2025spotlight

This paper presents an innovative approach, called credal wrapper, to formulating a credal set representation of model averaging for Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) and deep ensembles (DEs), capable of improving uncertainty estimation in classification tasks. Given a finite collection of single pred…

Cited by 0SourcePDFScholar
2024

Credal Deep Ensembles for Uncertainty Quantification

NeurIPS 2024poster

This paper introduces an innovative approach to classification called Credal Deep Ensembles (CreDEs), namely, ensembles of novel Credal-Set Neural Networks (CreNets). CreNets are trained to predict a lower and an upper probability bound for each class, which, in turn, determine a convex set of proba…

Cited by 3SourcePDFScholar