12 accepted papers
Deep ensembles (DE) have emerged as a powerful approach for quantifying predictive uncertainty and distinguishing its aleatoric and epistemic components, thereby enhancing model robustness and reliability. However, their high computational and memory costs during inference pose significant challenge
Credal predictors are epistemic-uncertainty-aware models that produce a convex set of probabilistic predictions. They provide a principled framework for quantifying predictive epistemic uncertainty (EU) and have been shown to improve model robustness across a range of settings. However, most state-o…
Autonomous Vehicle (AV) perception systems have advanced rapidly in recent years, providing vehicles with the ability to accurately interpret their environment. Perception systems remain susceptible to errors caused by overly-confident predictions in the case of rare events or out-of-sample data. Th…
Predictions of uncertainty-aware models are diverse, ranging from single point estimates (often averaged over prediction samples) to predictive distributions, to set-valued or credal-set representations. We propose a novel unified evaluation framework for uncertainty-aware classifiers, applicable to…
This paper presents an innovative approach, called credal wrapper, to formulating a credal set representation of model averaging for Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) and deep ensembles (DEs), capable of improving uncertainty estimation in classification tasks. Given a finite collection of single pred…
Machine learning is increasingly deployed in safety-critical domains where erroneous predictions may lead to potentially catastrophic consequences, highlighting the need for learning systems to be aware of how confident they are in their own predictions: in other words, 'to know when they do not kno…
This paper introduces an innovative approach to classification called Credal Deep Ensembles (CreDEs), namely, ensembles of novel Credal-Set Neural Networks (CreNets). CreNets are trained to predict a lower and an upper probability bound for each class, which, in turn, determine a convex set of proba…
Statistical learning theory is the foundation of machine learning, providing theoretical bounds for the risk of models learned from a (single) training set, assumed to issue from an unknown probability distribution. In actual deployment, however, the data distribution may (and often does) vary, caus…
This survey targets intention and trajectory prediction in Autonomous Vehicles (AV), as AV companies compete to create dedicated prediction pipelines to avoid collisions. The survey starts with a formal definition of the prediction problem and highlights its challenges, to then critically compare th…
Anomaly detection in Minimally-Invasive Surgery (MIS) traditionally requires a human expert monitoring the procedure from a console, whereas automated anomaly detection systems in this area typically rely on classical supervised learning. Anomalous surgical events, however, are rare, making it diffi
Dominant approaches to action detection can only provide sub-optimal solutions to the problem, as they rely on seeking frame-level detections, to later compose them into "action tubes" in a post-processing step. With this paper we radically depart from current practice, and take a first step towards…
We present a deep-learning framework for real-time multiple spatio-temporal (S/T) action localisation and classification. Current state-of-the-art approaches work offline, and are too slow to be useful in real-world settings. To overcome their limitations we introduce two major developments. Firstly…