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Tian Zhou

16 accepted papers

2026

Baguan-TS: dual in-context learning model for time series forecasting with covariates

ICML 2026poster

Transformers enable in-context learning (ICL) for rapid, gradient-free adaptation in time series forecasting, yet most ICL-style approaches rely on tabularized, hand-crafted features, while end-to-end sequence models lack inference-time adaptation. We bridge this gap with a unified framework, Baguan…

Cited by 0SourceScholar
2026

Bridging Past and Future: Distribution-Aware Alignment for Time Series Forecasting

ICLR 2026poster

Although contrastive and other representation-learning methods have long been explored in vision and NLP, their adoption in modern time series forecasters remains limited. We believe they hold strong promise for this domain. To unlock this potential, we explicitly align past and future representatio…

Cited by 0SourcecodeScholar
2026

SimDiff: Simpler Yet Better Diffusion Model for Time Series Point Forecasting

AAAI 2026technical

Diffusion models have recently shown promise in time series forecasting, particularly for probabilistic predictions. However, they often fail to achieve state-of-the-art point estimation performance compared to regression-based methods. This limitation stems from difficulties in providing sufficient

Cited by 0SourcePDFScholar
2025

Less Is More: Embracing Sparsity and Interpolation with Esiformer for Time Series Forecasting

ICASSP 2025accepted

Time series forecasting has played a significant role in many practical fields. But time series data generated from real-world applications always exhibits high variance and lots of noise, which makes it difficult to capture the inherent periodic patterns of the data, hurting the prediction accuracy…

Cited by 0SourceScholar
2025

Sparse-VQ Transformer: An FFN-Free Framework with Vector Quantization for Enhanced Time Series

ICASSP 2025accepted

Time series analysis is vital for numerous applications, and transformers have become increasingly prominent in this domain. Leading methods customize the transformer architecture from NLP and CV, utilizing a patching technique to convert continuous signals into segments. Yet, time series data is un…

Cited by 0SourceScholar
2025

Unlocking the Power of LSTM for Long Term Time Series Forecasting

AAAI 2025technical

Traditional recurrent neural network architectures, such as long short-term memory neural networks (LSTM), have historically held a prominent role in time series forecasting (TSF) tasks. While the recently introduced sLSTM for Natural Language Processing (NLP) introduces exponential gating and memor…

2024

CARD: Channel Aligned Robust Blend Transformer for Time Series Forecasting

ICLR 2024poster

Recent studies have demonstrated the great power of Transformer models for time series forecasting. One of the key elements that lead to the transformer's success is the channel-independent (CI) strategy to improve the training robustness. However, the ignorance of the correlation among different ch…

2024

WebCiteS: Attributed Query-Focused Summarization on Chinese Web Search Results with Citations

ACL 2024long

Enhancing the attribution in large language models (LLMs) is a crucial task. One feasible approach is to enable LLMs to cite external sources that support their generations. However, existing datasets and evaluation methods in this domain still exhibit notable limitations. In this work, we formulate…

2023

One Fits All: Power General Time Series Analysis by Pretrained LM

NeurIPS 2023spotlight

Although we have witnessed great success of pre-trained models in natural language processing (NLP) and computer vision (CV), limited progress has been made for general time series analysis. Unlike NLP and CV where a unified model can be used to perform different tasks, specially designed approach s…

2023

SADI: A Self-Adaptive Decomposed Interpretable Framework for Electric Load Forecasting Under Extreme Events

ICASSP 2023accepted

Accurate prediction of electric load is crucial in power grid planning and management. In this paper, we solve the electric load forecasting problem under extreme events such as scorching heats. One challenge for accurate forecasting is the lack of training samples under extreme conditions. Also loa…

Cited by 0SourceScholar
2023

Transformers in Time Series: A Survey

IJCAI 2023poster

Transformers have achieved superior performances in many tasks in natural language processing and computer vision, which also triggered great interest in the time series community. Among multiple advantages of Transformers, the ability to capture long-range dependencies and interactions is especiall…

2023

eForecaster: Unifying Electricity Forecasting with Robust, Flexible, and Explainable Machine Learning Algorithms

AAAI 2023technical

Electricity forecasting is crucial in scheduling and planning of future electric load, so as to improve the reliability and safeness of the power grid. Despite recent developments of forecasting algorithms in the machine learning community, there is a lack of general and advanced algorithms specific…

Cited by 5SourcePDFScholar
2022

FEDformer: Frequency Enhanced Decomposed Transformer for Long-term Series Forecasting

ICML 2022spotlight

Long-term time series forecasting is challenging since prediction accuracy tends to decrease dramatically with the increasing horizon. Although Transformer-based methods have significantly improved state-of-the-art results for long-term forecasting, they are not only computationally expensive but mo…

2022

FiLM: Frequency improved Legendre Memory Model for Long-term Time Series Forecasting

NeurIPS 2022accept

Recent studies have shown that deep learning models such as RNNs and Transformers have brought significant performance gains for long-term forecasting of time series because they effectively utilize historical information. We found, however, that there is still great room for improvement in how to p…

2019

JISAP: Joint Inference for Surgeon Attributes Prediction during Robot-Assisted Surgery

IROS 2019poster

In Robot-Assisted Surgery, predicting surgeon attributes such as task workload, operation performance, and expertise levels is important in providing tailored assistance. This paper proposes Joint Inference for Surgeon Attributes Prediction (JISAP), a computational framework to jointly infer surgeon…

Cited by 0SourceScholar