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Xiuyuan Lu

11 accepted papers

2024

Event-Aided Time-To-Collision Estimation for Autonomous Driving

ECCV 2024poster

"Predicting a potential collision with leading vehicles is an essential functionality of any autonomous/assisted driving system. One bottleneck of existing vision-based solutions is that their updating rate is limited to the frame rate of standard cameras used. In this paper, we present a novel meth…

2023

Approximate Thompson Sampling via Epistemic Neural Networks

UAI 2023poster

Thompson sampling (TS) is a popular heuristic for action selection, but it requires sampling from a posterior distribution. Unfortunately, this can become computationally intractable in complex environments, such as those modeled using neural networks. Approximate posterior samples can produce effec…

2023

Epistemic Neural Networks

NeurIPS 2023spotlight

Intelligence relies on an agent's knowledge of what it does not know. This capability can be assessed based on the quality of joint predictions of labels across multiple inputs. In principle, ensemble-based approaches can produce effective joint predictions, but the computational costs of large ense…

Cited by 144SourcePDFScholar
2022

Evaluating high-order predictive distributions in deep learning

UAI 2022poster

Most work on supervised learning research has focused on marginal predictions. In decision problems, joint predictive distributions are essential for good performance. Previous work has developed methods for assessing low-order predictive distributions with inputs sampled i.i.d. from the testing dis…

2022

The Neural Testbed: Evaluating Joint Predictions

NeurIPS 2022accept

Predictive distributions quantify uncertainties ignored by point estimates. This paper introduces The Neural Testbed: an open source benchmark for controlled and principled evaluation of agents that generate such predictions. Crucially, the testbed assesses agents not only on the quality of their ma…

2020

Hypermodels for Exploration

ICLR 2020poster

We study the use of hypermodels to represent epistemic uncertainty and guide exploration. This generalizes and extends the use of ensembles to approximate Thompson sampling. The computational cost of training an ensemble grows with its size, and as such, prior work has typically been limited to ense…

Cited by 58SourceScholar
2017

Ensemble Sampling

NeurIPS 2017poster

Thompson sampling has emerged as an effective heuristic for a broad range of online decision problems. In its basic form, the algorithm requires computing and sampling from a posterior distribution over models, which is tractable only for simple special cases. This paper develops ensemble sampling,…

Cited by 166SourcePDFScholar