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Ali Caner Turkmen

5 accepted papers

2026

Test-Time Efficient Pretrained Model Portfolios for Time Series Forecasting

ICLR 2026poster

Is bigger always better for time series foundation models? With the question in mind, we explore an alternative to training a single, large monolithic model: building a portfolio of smaller, pretrained forecasting models. By applying ensembling or model selection over these portfolios, we achieve co…

Cited by 0SourceScholar
2025

ChronosX: Adapting Pretrained Time Series Models with Exogenous Variables

AISTATS 2025poster

Covariates provide valuable information on external factors that influence time series and are critical in many real-world time series forecasting tasks. For example, in retail, covariates may indicate promotions or peak dates such as holiday seasons that heavily influence demand forecasts. Recent a…

Cited by 0SourceScholar
2025

MLZero: A Multi-Agent System for End-to-end Machine Learning Automation

NeurIPS 2025poster

Existing AutoML systems have advanced the automation of machine learning (ML); however, they still require substantial manual configuration and expert input, particularly when handling multimodal data. We introduce MLZero, a novel multi-agent framework powered by Large Language Models (LLMs) that en…

Cited by 0SourcecodeScholar
2021

Deep Explicit Duration Switching Models for Time Series

NeurIPS 2021poster

Many complex time series can be effectively subdivided into distinct regimes that exhibit persistent dynamics. Discovering the switching behavior and the statistical patterns in these regimes is important for understanding the underlying dynamical system. We propose the Recurrent Explicit Duration S…

2021

Detecting Anomalous Event Sequences with Temporal Point Processes

NeurIPS 2021poster

Automatically detecting anomalies in event data can provide substantial value in domains such as healthcare, DevOps, and information security. In this paper, we frame the problem of detecting anomalous continuous-time event sequences as out-of-distribution (OOD) detection for temporal point processe…

Cited by 18SourcePDFScholar