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Anpeng Wu

16 accepted papers

2026

Causal Discovery for Irregularly Time Series with Consistency Guarantees

ICML 2026poster

This paper studies causal discovery in irregularly sampled time series—a key challenge in risk-sensitive domains like finance, healthcare, and climate science, where missing data and inconsistent sampling frequencies distort causal mechanisms. The main challenge comes from the interdependence betwee…

Cited by 0SourceScholar
2026

Journey to the Centre of Cluster: Harnessing Interior Nodes for A/B Testing under Network Interference

ICLR 2026poster

A/B testing on platforms often faces challenges from network interference, where a unit's outcome depends not only on its own treatment but also on the treatments of its network neighbors. To address this, cluster-level randomization has become standard, enabling the use of network-aware estimators.…

Cited by 0SourcecodeScholar
2026

Uplift Modeling with Delayed Feedback: Identifiability and Algorithms

AAAI 2026technical

Uplift modeling has obtained significant attention, with broad applications in medicine, economics, and marketing. For example, in a push notification scenario, accurately estimating the uplift of different push frequencies on user activation and notification switch close rate is critical for balanc

Cited by 0SourcePDFScholar
2025

Causal Graph Transformer for Treatment Effect Estimation Under Unknown Interference

ICLR 2025poster

Networked interference, also known as the peer effect in social science and spillover effect in economics, has drawn increasing interest across various domains. This phenomenon arises when a unit’s treatment and outcome are influenced by the actions of its peers, posing significant challenges to cau…

2025

Generalizing Causal Effects from Randomized Controlled Trials to Target Populations across Diverse Environments

ICML 2025poster

Generalizing causal effects from Randomized Controlled Trials (RCTs) to target populations across diverse environments is of significant practical importance, as RCTs are often costly and logistically complex to conduct. A key challenge is environmental shift, defined as changes in the distribution…

Cited by 0SourcePDFScholar
2025

Invariant Deep Uplift Modeling for Incentive Assignment in Online Marketing via Probability of Necessity and Sufficiency

ICML 2025spotlight

In online platforms, incentives (\textit{e.g}., discounts, coupons) are used to boost user engagement and revenue. Uplift modeling methods are developed to estimate user responses from observational data, often incorporating distribution balancing to address selection bias. However, these methods ar…

Cited by 0SourcePDFScholar
2025

Rethinking Causal Ranking: A Balanced Perspective on Uplift Model Evaluation

ICML 2025poster

Uplift modeling is crucial for identifying individuals likely to respond to a treatment in applications like marketing and customer retention, but evaluating these models is challenging due to the inaccessibility of counterfactual outcomes in real-world settings. In this paper, we identify a fundame…

2024

A Generative Approach for Treatment Effect Estimation under Collider Bias: From an Out-of-Distribution Perspective

ICML 2024poster

Resulting from non-random sample selection caused by both the treatment and outcome, collider bias poses a unique challenge to treatment effect estimation using observational data whose distribution differs from that of the target population. In this paper, we rethink collider bias from an out-of-di…

Cited by 2SourcePDFScholar
2024

Contrastive Balancing Representation Learning for Heterogeneous Dose-Response Curves Estimation

AAAI 2024technical

Estimating the individuals' potential response to varying treatment doses is crucial for decision-making in areas such as precision medicine and management science. Most recent studies predict counterfactual outcomes by learning a covariate representation that is independent of the treatment variabl…

2024

Learning Causal Relations from Subsampled Time Series with Two Time-Slices

ICML 2024spotlight

This paper studies the causal relations from subsampled time series, in which measurements are sparse and sampled at a coarser timescale than the causal timescale of the underlying system. In such data, because there are numerous missing time-slices (i.e., cross-sections at each time point) between…

Cited by 0SourcePDFScholar
2024

Learning Discrete Latent Variable Structures with Tensor Rank Conditions

NeurIPS 2024poster

Unobserved discrete data are ubiquitous in many scientific disciplines, and how to learn the causal structure of these latent variables is crucial for uncovering data patterns. Most studies focus on the linear latent variable model or impose strict constraints on latent structures, which fail to add…

Cited by 0SourcePDFScholar
2024

Learning Shadow Variable Representation for Treatment Effect Estimation under Collider Bias

ICML 2024poster

One of the significant challenges in treatment effect estimation is collider bias, a specific form of sample selection bias induced by the common causes of both the treatment and outcome. Identifying treatment effects under collider bias requires well-defined shadow variables in observational data,…

Cited by 4SourcePDFScholar
2024

Two-Stage Shadow Inclusion Estimation: An IV Approach for Causal Inference under Latent Confounding and Collider Bias

ICML 2024poster

Latent confounding bias and collider bias are two key challenges of causal inference in observational studies. Latent confounding bias occurs when failing to control the unmeasured covariates that are common causes of treatments and outcomes, which can be addressed by using the Instrumental Variable…

Cited by 2SourcePDFScholar
2023

Learning Instrumental Variable from Data Fusion for Treatment Effect Estimation

AAAI 2023technical

The advent of the big data era brought new opportunities and challenges to draw treatment effect in data fusion, that is, a mixed dataset collected from multiple sources (each source with an independent treatment assignment mechanism). Due to possibly omitted source labels and unmeasured confounders…