15 accepted papers
Credal networks extend Bayesian networks by incorporating imprecise probabilities through convex sets of probability distributions known as credal sets. MAP inference in credal networks, which seeks the most probable variable assignment given evidence, becomes inherently more difficult than in Bayes…
Large language models (LLMs) have achieved remarkable success in generative tasks, yet they often fall short in ensuring the factual accuracy of their outputs thus limiting their reliability in real-world applications where correctness is critical. In this paper, we present FactReasoner, a novel neu
Causal discovery in the form of a directed acyclic graph (DAG) for dynamic time series data has been widely studied in various applications. Much of the existing work has focused on observational, offline, and/or stationary settings. In this work, we propose a dynamic DAG discovery algorithm, Meta-D…
Many practical reinforcement learning environments have a discrete factored action space that induces a large combinatorial set of actions, thereby posing significant challenges. Existing approaches leverage the regular structure of the action space and resort to a linear decomposition of Q-functio…
When does a large language model (LLM) know what it does not know? Uncertainty quantification (UQ) provides measures of uncertainty, such as an estimate of the confidence in an LLM’s generated output, and is therefore increasingly recognized as a crucial component of trusted AI systems. Black-box UQ
Estimating the confidence of large language model (LLM) outputs is essential for real-world applications requiring high user trust. Black-box uncertainty quantification (UQ) methods, relying solely on model API access, have gained popularity due to their practical benefits. In this paper, we examine
Logical Credal Networks or LCNs were recently introduced as a powerful probabilistic logic framework for representing and reasoning with imprecise knowledge. Unlike many existing formalisms, LCNs have the ability to represent cycles and allow specifying marginal and conditional probability bounds on…
The creation of planning models, and in particular domain models, is among the last bastions of tasks that require exten- sive manual labor in AI planning; it is desirable to simplify this process for the sake of making planning more accessi- ble. To this end, we investigate whether large language m…
Partially observable Markov decision processes (POMDPs) challenge reinforcement learning agents due to incomplete knowledge of the environment. Even assuming monotonicity in uncertainty, it is difficult for an agent to know how and when to stop exploring for a given task. In this abstract, we discus…
Planning tasks succinctly represent labeled transition systems, with each ground action corresponding to a label. This granularity, however, is not necessary for solving planning tasks and can be harmful, especially for model-free methods. In order to apply such methods, the label sets are often man…
Credal networks extend Bayesian networks to allow for imprecision in probability values. Marginal MAP is a widely applicable mixed inference task that identifies the most likely assignment for a subset of variables (called MAP variables). However, the task is extremely difficult to solve in credal…
Top-k planning, the task of finding k top-cost plans, is a key formalism for many planning applications and K* search is a well-established approach to top-k planning. The algorithm iteratively runs A* search and Eppstein’s algorithm until a sufficient number of plans is found. The performance of…
Influence diagrams provide a modeling and inference framework for sequential decision problems, representing the probabilistic knowledge by a Bayesian network and the preferences of an agent by utility functions over the random variables and decision variables. Computing the maximum expected utility…
Influence diagrams (IDs) are graphical models for representing and reasoning with sequential decision-making problems under uncertainty. Limited memory influence diagrams (LIMIDs) model a decision-maker (DM) who forgets the history in the course of making a sequence of decisions. The standard infere…
Influence diagrams provide a modeling and inference framework for sequential decision problems, representing the probabilistic knowledge by a Bayesian network and the preferences of an agent by utility functions over the random variables and decision variables. The time and space complexity of comp…