10 accepted papers
We present an online, distribution-free framework for controlling the Conditional Value-at-Risk ($\operatorname{CVaR}$), extending conformal tail risk control to non-stationary and adversarial environments. Unlike classical risk control methods, which rely on stationarity or linearity of expectation…
Recent developments in large language models (LLMs) have led to their widespread usage for various tasks. The prevalence of LLMs in society implores the assurance on the reliability of their performance. In particular, risk-sensitive applications demand meticulous attention to unexpectedly poor outc…
Performativity of predictions refers to the phenomenon where prediction-informed decisions influence the very targets they aim to predict—a dynamic commonly observed in policy-making, social sciences, and economics. In this paper, we initiate an end-to-end framework of statistical inference under pe…
We extend conformal prediction to control the expected value of any monotone loss function. The algorithm generalizes split conformal prediction together with its coverage guarantee. Like conformal prediction, the conformal risk control procedure is tight up to an $\mathcal{O}(1/n)$ factor. We also…
Inferring variable importance is the key goal of many scientific studies, where researchers seek to learn the effect of a feature $X$ on the outcome $Y$ in the presence of confounding variables $Z$. Focusing on classification problems, we define the expected total variation (ETV), which is an intuit…
Variance reduction methods such as SVRG and SpiderBoost use a mixture of large and small batch gradients to reduce the variance of stochastic gradients. Compared to SGD, these methods require at least double the number of operations per update to model parameters. To reduce the computational cost of…
In this article, we develop and analyze a homotopy continuation method, referred to as HONES , for solving the sequential generalized projections in Online Newton Step (Hazan et al., 2006b), as well as the generalized problem known as sequential standard quadratic programming. HONES is fast, tuning-…
We develop and analyze a procedure for gradient-based optimization that we refer to as stochastically controlled stochastic gradient (SCSG). As a member of the SVRG family of algorithms, SCSG makes use of gradient estimates at two scales. Unlike most existing algorithms in this family, both the comp…
We develop a class of algorithms, as variants of the stochastically controlled stochastic gradient (SCSG) methods , for the smooth nonconvex finite-sum optimization problem. Only assuming the smoothness of each component, the complexity of SCSG to reach a stationary point with $E \|\nabla f(x)\|^{2}…
Ordered testing procedures are multiple testing procedures that exploit a pre-specified ordering of the null hypotheses, from most to least promising. We analyze and compare the power of several recent proposals using the asymptotic framework of Li & Barber (2015). While accumulation tests including…