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Michael I Jordan

62 accepted papers

2026

Online Decision-Focused Learning

ICLR 2026poster

Decision-focused learning (DFL) is an increasingly popular paradigm for training predictive models whose outputs are used in decision-making tasks. Instead of merely optimizing for predictive accuracy, DFL trains models to directly minimize the loss associated with downstream decisions. However, exi…

Cited by 0SourceScholar
2026

Sample Complexity and Representation Ability of Test-time Scaling Paradigms

ICLR 2026poster

Test-time scaling paradigms have significantly advanced the capabilities of large language models (LLMs) on complex tasks. Despite their empirical success, theoretical understanding of the sample efficiency of various test-time strategies---such as self-consistency, best-of-$n$, and self-correction-…

Cited by 0SourcecodeScholar
2026

The Sample Complexity of Online Reinforcement Learning: A Multi-model Perspective

ICLR 2026poster

We study the sample complexity of online reinforcement learning in the general setting of nonlinear dynamical systems with continuous state and action spaces. Our analysis accommodates a large class of dynamical systems ranging from a finite set of nonlinear candidate models to models with bounded a…

Cited by 0SourceScholar
2025

AutoEval Done Right: Using Synthetic Data for Model Evaluation

ICML 2025poster

The evaluation of machine learning models using human-labeled validation data can be expensive and time-consuming. AI-labeled synthetic data can be used to decrease the number of human annotations required for this purpose in a process called autoevaluation. We suggest efficient and statistically pr…

2025

Conformal Prediction under Lévy-Prokhorov Distribution Shifts: Robustness to Local and Global Perturbations

NeurIPS 2025poster

Conformal prediction provides a powerful framework for constructing prediction intervals with finite-sample guarantees, yet its robustness under distribution shifts remains a significant challenge. This paper addresses this limitation by modeling distribution shifts using Lévy-Prokhorov (LP) ambigui…

Cited by 0SourceScholar
2025

Generalization or Hallucination? Understanding Out-of-Context Reasoning in Transformers

NeurIPS 2025poster

Large language models (LLMs) can acquire new knowledge through fine-tuning, but this process exhibits a puzzling duality: models can generalize remarkably from new facts, yet are also prone to hallucinating incorrect information. However, the reasons for this phenomenon remain poorly understood. In…

Cited by 0SourceScholar
2025

Prediction-Aware Learning in Multi-Agent Systems

ICML 2025poster

The framework of uncoupled online learning in multiplayer games has made significant progress in recent years. In particular, the development of time-varying games has considerably expanded its modeling capabilities. However, current regret bounds quickly become vacuous when the game undergoes sign…

Cited by 0SourcePDFScholar
2024

Conformal Decision Theory: Safe Autonomous Decisions from Imperfect Predictions

ICRA 2024poster

We introduce Conformal Decision Theory, a framework for producing safe autonomous decisions despite imperfect machine learning predictions. Examples of such decisions are ubiquitous, from robot planning algorithms that rely on pedestrian predictions, to calibrating autonomous manufacturing to exhibi…

Cited by 33SourceScholar
2023

A Statistical Analysis of Polyak-Ruppert Averaged Q-Learning

AISTATS 2023poster

We study Q-learning with Polyak-Ruppert averaging (a.k.a., averaged Q-learning) in a discounted markov decision process in synchronous and tabular settings. Under a Lipschitz condition, we establish a functional central limit theorem for the averaged iteration $\bar{\mathbf{Q}}_T$ and show that its…

2023

Byzantine-Robust Federated Learning with Optimal Statistical Rates

AISTATS 2023poster

We propose Byzantine-robust federated learning protocols with nearly optimal statistical rates based on recent progress in high dimensional robust statistics. In contrast to prior work, our proposed protocols improve the dimension dependence and achieve a near-optimal statistical rate for strongly c…

Cited by 35SourcePDFScholar
2023

Competition, Alignment, and Equilibria in Digital Marketplaces

AAAI 2023technical

Competition between traditional platforms is known to improve user utility by aligning the platform's actions with user preferences. But to what extent is alignment exhibited in data-driven marketplaces? To study this question from a theoretical perspective, we introduce a duopoly market where platf…

Cited by 20SourcePDFScholar
2023

Finding Regularized Competitive Equilibria of Heterogeneous Agent Macroeconomic Models via Reinforcement Learning

AISTATS 2023poster

We study a heterogeneous agent macroeconomic model with an infinite number of households and firms competing in a labor market. Each household earns income and engages in consumption at each time step while aiming to maximize a concave utility subject to the underlying market conditions. The househo…

Cited by 6SourcePDFScholar
2021

Efficient Methods for Structured Nonconvex-Nonconcave Min-Max Optimization

AISTATS 2021poster

The use of min-max optimization in the adversarial training of deep neural network classifiers, and the training of generative adversarial networks has motivated the study of nonconvex-nonconcave optimization objectives, which frequently arise in these applications. Unfortunately, recent results hav…

Cited by 186SourcePDFScholar
2021

On Projection Robust Optimal Transport: Sample Complexity and Model Misspecification

AISTATS 2021poster

Optimal transport (OT) distances are increasingly used as loss functions for statistical inference, notably in the learning of generative models or supervised learning. Yet, the behavior of minimum Wasserstein estimators is poorly understood, notably in high-dimensional regimes or under model misspe…

2021

Robustness Guarantees for Mode Estimation with an Application to Bandits

AAAI 2021technical

Mode estimation is a classical problem in statistics with a wide range of applications in machine learning. Despite this, there is little understanding in its robustness properties under possibly adversarial data contamination. In this paper, we give precise robustness guarantees as well as privacy…

Cited by 0SourcePDFScholar
2021

Variational refinement for importance sampling using the forward Kullback-Leibler divergence

UAI 2021poster

Variational Inference (VI) is a popular alternative to asymptotically exact sampling in Bayesian inference. Its main workhorse is optimization over a reverse Kullback-Leibler divergence (RKL), which typically underestimates the tail of the posterior leading to miscalibration and potential degeneracy…

Cited by 44SourcePDFScholar
2020

Decision-Making with Auto-Encoding Variational Bayes

NeurIPS 2020poster

To make decisions based on a model fit with auto-encoding variational Bayes (AEVB), practitioners often let the variational distribution serve as a surrogate for the posterior distribution. This approach yields biased estimates of the expected risk, and therefore leads to poor decisions for two reas…

2020

Fixed-Support Wasserstein Barycenters: Computational Hardness and Fast Algorithm

NeurIPS 2020poster

We study the fixed-support Wasserstein barycenter problem (FS-WBP), which consists in computing the Wasserstein barycenter of $m$ discrete probability measures supported on a finite metric space of size $n$. We show first that the constraint matrix arising from the standard linear programming (LP) r…

Cited by 65SourcePDFScholar
2020

Langevin Monte Carlo without smoothness

AISTATS 2020poster

Langevin Monte Carlo (LMC) is an iterative algorithm used to generate samples from a distribution that is known only up to a normalizing constant. The nonasymptotic dependence of its mixing time on the dimension and target accuracy is understood mainly in the setting of smooth (gradient-Lipschitz) l…

Cited by 54SourcePDFScholar
2020

On the Theory of Transfer Learning: The Importance of Task Diversity

NeurIPS 2020poster

We provide new statistical guarantees for transfer learning via representation learning--when transfer is achieved by learning a feature representation shared across different tasks. This enables learning on new tasks using far less data than is required to learn them in isolation. Formally, we cons…

Cited by 276SourcePDFScholar
2020

Post-Estimation Smoothing: A Simple Baseline for Learning with Side Information

AISTATS 2020poster

Observational data are often accompanied by natural structural indices, such as time stamps or geographic locations, which are meaningful to prediction tasks but are often discarded. We leverage semantically meaningful indexing data while ensuring robustness to potentially uninformative or misleadin…

2020

Projection Robust Wasserstein Distance and Riemannian Optimization

NeurIPS 2020spotlight

Projection robust Wasserstein (PRW) distance, or Wasserstein projection pursuit (WPP), is a robust variant of the Wasserstein distance. Recent work suggests that this quantity is more robust than the standard Wasserstein distance, in particular when comparing probability measures in high-dimensions.…

2020

Provably Efficient Reinforcement Learning with Kernel and Neural Function Approximations

NeurIPS 2020accepted

Reinforcement learning (RL) algorithms combined with modern function approximators such as kernel functions and deep neural networks have achieved significant empirical successes in large-scale application problems with a massive number of states. From a theoretical perspective, however, RL wit…

Cited by 58SourcePDFScholar
2020

Robust Optimization for Fairness with Noisy Protected Groups

NeurIPS 2020poster

Many existing fairness criteria for machine learning involve equalizing some metric across protected groups such as race or gender. However, practitioners trying to audit or enforce such group-based criteria can easily face the problem of noisy or biased protected group information. First, we study…

2020

Transferable Calibration with Lower Bias and Variance in Domain Adaptation

NeurIPS 2020poster

Domain Adaptation (DA) enables transferring a learning machine from a labeled source domain to an unlabeled target one. While remarkable advances have been made, most of the existing DA methods focus on improving the target accuracy at inference. How to estimate the predictive uncertainty of DA mode…

Cited by 65SourcePDFScholar
2019

Acceleration via Symplectic Discretization of High-Resolution Differential Equations

NeurIPS 2019poster

We study first-order optimization algorithms obtained by discretizing ordinary differential equations (ODEs) corresponding to Nesterov’s accelerated gradient methods (NAGs) and Polyak’s heavy-ball method. We consider three discretization schemes: symplectic Euler (S), explicit Euler (E) and implicit…

Cited by 154SourcePDFScholar
2019

L-Shapley and C-Shapley: Efficient Model Interpretation for Structured Data

ICLR 2019poster

Instancewise feature scoring is a method for model interpretation, which yields, for each test instance, a vector of importance scores associated with features. Methods based on the Shapley score have been proposed as a fair way of computing feature attributions, but incur an exponential complexity…

2019

Transferable Normalization: Towards Improving Transferability of Deep Neural Networks

NeurIPS 2019poster

Deep neural networks (DNNs) excel at learning representations when trained on large-scale datasets. Pre-trained DNNs also show strong transferability when fine-tuned to other labeled datasets. However, such transferability becomes weak when the target dataset is fully unlabeled as in Unsupervised Do…

2018

Conditional Adversarial Domain Adaptation

NeurIPS 2018poster

Adversarial learning has been embedded into deep networks to learn disentangled and transferable representations for domain adaptation. Existing adversarial domain adaptation methods may struggle to align different domains of multimodal distributions that are native in classification problems. In th…

2018

Gen-Oja: Simple & Efficient Algorithm for Streaming Generalized Eigenvector Computation

NeurIPS 2018poster

In this paper, we study the problems of principle Generalized Eigenvector computation and Canonical Correlation Analysis in the stochastic setting. We propose a simple and efficient algorithm for these problems. We prove the global convergence of our algorithm, borrowing ideas from the theory of fas…

Cited by 22SourcePDFScholar
2018

Generalized Zero-Shot Learning with Deep Calibration Network

NeurIPS 2018poster

A technical challenge of deep learning is recognizing target classes without seen data. Zero-shot learning leverages semantic representations such as attributes or class prototypes to bridge source and target classes. Existing standard zero-shot learning methods may be prone to overfitting the seen…

Cited by 301SourcePDFScholar
2018

Information Constraints on Auto-Encoding Variational Bayes

NeurIPS 2018poster

Parameterizing the approximate posterior of a generative model with neural networks has become a common theme in recent machine learning research. While providing appealing flexibility, this approach makes it difficult to impose or assess structural constraints such as conditional independence. We p…

Cited by 172SourcePDFScholar
2018

Partial Transfer Learning With Selective Adversarial Networks

CVPR 2018poster

Adversarial learning has been successfully embedded into deep networks to learn transferable features, which reduce distribution discrepancy between the source and target domains. Existing domain adversarial networks assume fully shared label space across domains. In the presence of big data, there…

Cited by 556SourcePDFScholar
2018

Stochastic Cubic Regularization for Fast Nonconvex Optimization

NeurIPS 2018oral

This paper proposes a stochastic variant of a classic algorithm---the cubic-regularized Newton method [Nesterov and Polyak]. The proposed algorithm efficiently escapes saddle points and finds approximate local minima for general smooth, nonconvex functions in only $\mathcal{\tilde{O}}(\epsilon^{-3.5…

Cited by 205SourcePDFScholar
2018

Theoretical guarantees for EM under misspecified Gaussian mixture models

NeurIPS 2018poster

Recent years have witnessed substantial progress in understanding the behavior of EM for mixture models that are correctly specified. Given that model misspecification is common in practice, it is important to understand EM in this more general setting. We provide non-asymptotic guarantees…

Cited by 19SourcePDFScholar
2017

Breaking Locality Accelerates Block Gauss-Seidel

ICML 2017poster

Recent work by Nesterov and Stich (2016) showed that momentum can be used to accelerate the rate of convergence for block Gauss-Seidel in the setting where a fixed partitioning of the coordinates is chosen ahead of time. We show that this setting is too restrictive, constructing instances where brea…

2017

Deep Transfer Learning with Joint Adaptation Networks

ICML 2017poster

Deep networks have been successfully applied to learn transferable features for adapting models from a source domain to a different target domain. In this paper, we present joint adaptation networks (JAN), which learn a transfer network by aligning the joint distributions of multiple domain-specific…

Cited by 3217SourcePDFScholar
2017

Fast Black-box Variational Inference through Stochastic Trust-Region Optimization

NeurIPS 2017spotlight

We introduce TrustVI, a fast second-order algorithm for black-box variational inference based on trust-region optimization and the reparameterization trick. At each iteration, TrustVI proposes and assesses a step based on minibatches of draws from the variational distribution. The algorithm provably…

2017

Gradient Descent Can Take Exponential Time to Escape Saddle Points

NeurIPS 2017spotlight

Although gradient descent (GD) almost always escapes saddle points asymptotically [Lee et al., 2016], this paper shows that even with fairly natural random initialization schemes and non-pathological functions, GD can be significantly slowed down by saddle points, taking exponential time to escape.…

Cited by 324SourcePDFScholar
2017

How to Escape Saddle Points Efficiently

ICML 2017poster

This paper shows that a perturbed form of gradient descent converges to a second-order stationary point in a number iterations which depends only poly-logarithmically on dimension (i.e., it is almost “dimension-free”). The convergence rate of this procedure matches the well-known convergence rate of…

Cited by 1074SourcePDFScholar
2017

Kernel Feature Selection via Conditional Covariance Minimization

NeurIPS 2017poster

We propose a method for feature selection that employs kernel-based measures of independence to find a subset of covariates that is maximally predictive of the response. Building on past work in kernel dimension reduction, we show how to perform feature selection via a constrained optimization probl…

2017

Non-convex Finite-Sum Optimization Via SCSG Methods

NeurIPS 2017poster

We develop a class of algorithms, as variants of the stochastically controlled stochastic gradient (SCSG) methods , for the smooth nonconvex finite-sum optimization problem. Only assuming the smoothness of each component, the complexity of SCSG to reach a stationary point with $E \|\nabla f(x)\|^{2}…

2017

On the Learnability of Fully-Connected Neural Networks

AISTATS 2017poster

Despite the empirical success of deep neural networks, there is limited theoretical understanding on the learnability of these models using a polynomial-time algorithm. In this paper, we characterize the learnability of fully-connected neural networks via both positive and negative results. We focus…

Cited by 67SourcePDFScholar
2017

Online control of the false discovery rate with decaying memory

NeurIPS 2017oral

In the online multiple testing problem, p-values corresponding to different null hypotheses are presented one by one, and the decision of whether to reject a hypothesis must be made immediately, after which the next p-value is presented. Alpha-investing algorithms to control the false discovery rate…

Cited by 80SourcePDFScholar
2016

Cyclades: Conflict-free Asynchronous Machine Learning

NeurIPS 2016poster

We present Cyclades, a general framework for parallelizing stochastic optimization algorithms in a shared memory setting. Cyclades is asynchronous during model updates, and requires no memory locking mechanisms, similar to Hogwild!-type algorithms. Unlike Hogwild!, Cyclades introduces no conflicts d…

2016

L1-regularized Neural Networks are Improperly Learnable in Polynomial Time

ICML 2016poster

We study the improper learning of multi-layer neural networks. Suppose that the neural network to be learned has k hidden layers and that the \ell_1-norm of the incoming weights of any neuron is bounded by L. We present a kernel-based method, such that with probability at least 1 - δ, it learns a pr…

Cited by 128SourcePDFScholar
2016

Local Maxima in the Likelihood of Gaussian Mixture Models: Structural Results and Algorithmic Consequences

NeurIPS 2016poster

We provide two fundamental results on the population (infinite-sample) likelihood function of Gaussian mixture models with $M \geq 3$ components. Our first main result shows that the population likelihood function has bad local maxima even in the special case of equally-weighted mixtures of well-sep…

Cited by 198SourcePDFScholar
2016

Unsupervised Domain Adaptation with Residual Transfer Networks

NeurIPS 2016poster

The recent success of deep neural networks relies on massive amounts of labeled data. For a target task where labeled data is unavailable, domain adaptation can transfer a learner from a different source domain. In this paper, we propose a new approach to domain adaptation in deep networks that can…

2015

Linear Response Methods for Accurate Covariance Estimates from Mean Field Variational Bayes

NeurIPS 2015spotlight

Mean field variational Bayes (MFVB) is a popular posterior approximation method due to its fast runtime on large-scale data sets. However, a well known failing of MFVB is that it underestimates the uncertainty of model variables (sometimes severely) and provides no information about model variable c…

2015

On the Accuracy of Self-Normalized Log-Linear Models

NeurIPS 2015poster

Calculation of the log-normalizer is a major computational obstacle in applications of log-linear models with large output spaces. The problem of fast normalizer computation has therefore attracted significant attention in the theoretical and applied machine learning literature. In this paper, we an…

Cited by 21SourcePDFScholar
2015

Optimism-driven exploration for nonlinear systems

ICRA 2015poster

Tasks with unknown dynamics and costly system interaction time present a serious challenge for reinforcement learning. If a model of the dynamics can be learned quickly, interaction time can be reduced substantially. We show that combining an optimistic exploration strategy with model-predictive con…

Cited by 50SourceScholar
2015

Parallel Correlation Clustering on Big Graphs

NeurIPS 2015poster

Given a similarity graph between items, correlation clustering (CC) groups similar items together and dissimilar ones apart. One of the most popular CC algorithms is KwikCluster: an algorithm that serially clusters neighborhoods of vertices, and obtains a 3-approximation ratio. Unfortunately, in pr…